Libertad Asuncion vs Atletico Mineiro Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

  • 00:45
  • Expired
  • Estadio Dr. Nicolás Leoz
Libertad Asuncion
Atletico Mineiro

Tip Reasoning

This match is a massive one for Libertad.  With just one game left to play on home soil after this one, and difficult away trips to come, they simply have to take a positive result to stand a chance of reaching the last 16. A 3-3 draw away at group minnows Sport Boys, followed by a disappointing 2-1 home defeat to Godoy Cruz has them sitting with just 1 point from a possible 6. Meanwhile, the visitors here have made a far stronger start, picking up a point from a tricky trip to Mendoza against Godoy Cruz before running out 5-2 winners at home to Sport Boys.

Libertad’s defeat to Godoy Cruz was unexpected given that prior to it they had wracked up 5 consecutive wins. The fact it has been followed by a 2-1 league defeat away at Guarani is also a concern, but the side still hold a 5 point advantage at the top of the domestic pile and will be looking to return to form in this crucial clash. Striker Santiago Salcedo is going to be key if they are to achieve that, as the veteran striker comes into this game with 11 goals in his last 13 games.

It’s not going to be an easy task for the Paraguayans, as they come up against one of the strongest sides on the continent. Luan will be a miss, but there is plenty of quality in the squad and the likes of Robinho, Otero, Cazares and veteran Fred will give the hosts plenty to think about. Atletico arrive in decent shape having just won the regular stage of the Mineiro State League and looking well placed to advance to the final of the latter stage.

We are anticipating an entertaining, open game and we really like the look of both sides finding the net. It’s something that’s happened in 5 of Libertad’s 6 home games in 2017, as well as in Atletico Mineiro’s last 7 consecutive road trips. There’s no reason not to expect it happening here. Libertad are desperate for the points and will pile men forward. We saw against Godoy Cruz how vulnerable they are to the counter, and Atletico have players more than capable of exploiting that weakness.

As for the result itself, it’s hard to envisage the hosts having quite enough in the tank to run out winners. Atletico will be happy with a point with two home games to come and have the quality to get it, perhaps in a 1-1 draw.

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