Maritimo vs Desportivo Aves Predictions

• Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two clubs.
• Maritimo have won 3 of the pairs’ last 6 encounters.
• Maritimo only lost 2 home games this season.
• Aves have lost all 9 of their away games in the Primeira Liga.

The visitors have lost every away game in the league so far

Maritimo narrowly lost 1-0 away at Sporting last time out while Aves also lost 1-0 but in their own backyard against mid-table Boavista, meaning the gap between the two clubs remains at 11pts. Maritimo need to make more of their home advantage having drawn too many games that possibly should have ended in victory, but will fancy their chances against an Aves side that have lost all of their away games in the Primeira Liga this season.

Both teams have scored in four of the pairs’ last seven meetings and Maritimo have won three of the duos’ last six encounters, so you can begin to see why we have backed a 2-1 home win this weekend. The hosts might only average 1.22 points per home game but the visitors average 0.00 points on the road due to their 100% record of defeats.

Maritimo score an average of 1.22 goals per home game and concede 1.33 goals while Aves score an average of 1.00 goals per away game and concede an average of 2.67 goals, and we have backed the hosts to claim a narrow 2-1 victory on Sunday. Both teams have scored in 78% of Maritimo’s home games and Aves’ away games this season, with over 2.5 goals being scored in 78% of the visitors’ games on the road as well.

Aves have conceded twice as many goals on the road as Maritimo have at home

The hosts have only scored 11 goals at home and the visitors have netted just 9 times on the road, but it is the defensive record of both teams that suggests Maritimo can win Sunday’s match. Aves have conceded a whopping 24 goals in their 9 away games so far while Maritimo have conceded half that amount at home, adding further weight to our prediction for a 2-1 final scoreline.

Maritimo have only kept clean sheets in 22% of their home games but have also only failed to score in 11% of those matches, while Aves are yet to keep a clean sheet on the road and have only failed to score in 22% of their away games. Exactly 3-goals have been scored in 33% of Aves’ away games and a majority of Maritimo’s wins this season (4) have been obtained with a 1-goal margin while a majority of Aves’s defeats (13) have also been via a 1-goal margin.

We’re confident that both teams will score in Sunday’s clash and we have predicted a final scoreline of 2-1 in favour of Maritimo. The hosts head into this match as the form favourites and have a good recent record against Aves, as well as only losing twice at home so far this season. The visitors have clearly struggled on the road and are yet to even pick up a point from their travels, making Maritimo the favourites to secure a victory this weekend.