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Napoli vs Salernitana Predictions

Published on 1:00pm GMT 29 April 2023

  • 13:00
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  • Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli to Win and Under 3.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

Napoli have won 11 of their 15 home league games this term, and they could secure the Italian top-flight title this weekend if they overcome Salernitana. However, the hosts have only scored four times in their last six contests, and a visiting outfit unbeaten in eight matches could frustrate them – at least for a while.

10/11odds when tipped

Napoli 2-0

Reason for tip

Napoli beat Salernitana 2-0 on the road in January’s return fixture, and Luciano Spalletti’s champions-elect have kept four clean sheets in their last six games in Serie A. With their midweek European distractions a distant memory, we do not expect the Partenopei to miss their chance to move within one result of the title.

5/1odds when tipped
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Napoli vs Salernitana Predictions

  • Napoli have won 11 of their home games in Serie A this season.
  • However, the runaway leaders have seen under 3.5 goals scored in each of their last five games.
  • Salernitana have gone unbeaten through their last eight matches, so they may be able to keep things competitive.

Is this the week for Partenopei party?

Napoli could win Serie A for the first time since the Diego Maradona era this weekend. Last week’s dramatic 1-0 win at Juventus – coupled with a slip-up from Lazio – means they will mathematically clinch the title if they beat Salernitana and the Biancocelesti drop points at Inter Milan the following day. With Luciano Spalletti’s men on the brink, we do not expect this opportunity to pass them by – though Salernitana could represent stubborn opponents.

Giacomo Raspadori’s stoppage-time volley fired Napoli to a huge win over Juventus last Sunday, also halting a three-match winless streak which had seen the Partenopei exit the Champions League to AC Milan and fail to find the breakthrough against Verona in Serie A. A tally of four goals across their last six games – three of which have seen them fail to score – shows Spalletti’s men are currently short of their free-flowing best, but with 11 wins from 15 home league games this season, Napoli look unlikely to allow their party to be ruined on Saturday.

Salernitana, though, could prove a tough nut to crack, having gone eight games unbeaten. Paulo Sousa was dropped into the Salernitana hotseat with the team staring at a relegation battle, having only won one of their 10 games immediately prior to his arrival. However, after a debut defeat to Lazio, Sousa has overseen a remarkable eight-game unbeaten run, with his men snapping a solid sequence of six successive draws by thrashing Sassuolo 3-0 last week. With just six goals conceded in their last eight, the visitors will be hopeful of frustrating Napoli – at least for a while.

Napoli to edge past solid Salernitana

Salernitana have enjoyed less than 50 per cent possession in all of their games since Sousa took over, but their counter-attacking style has served them well, steering them away from a potential relegation dogfight.

With the visitors certain to sit deep, we’re advising punters to seek additional value by backing Napoli to win a match containing under 3.5 goals – a bet which keeps several scorelines in play. Meanwhile, a 2-0 home win could represent a solid correct score play – Napoli have kept four clean sheets in their last six league games.

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