Pacos Ferreira vs Vitoria Guimaraes Predictions

• Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 4 of the last 6 league meetings between these two clubs.
• Guimaraes have won their last two matches against Pacos Ferreria.
• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 3 of Guimaraes’ last 5 matches.
• Pacos Ferreira have lost 4 of their last 6 league games.

Guimaraes have proven tricky to beat on their travels

Pacos Ferreira won 3-1 away at Aves last weekend while Guimaraes claimed a 2-0 victory at home to Tondela, which means the gap between the pair remains at 12pts heading into Sunday’s clash. The visitors are the form favourites with three wins and three defeats from their last six outings, as Pacos Ferreira have suffered four defeats and picked up two wins during that same period.

Guimaraes have won three of their last five league games against Pacos Ferreira, including a 1-0 win in the pairs’ reverse fixture back in September, and under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the duo’s last six meetings in the Primeira Liga. Pacos Ferreira have already lost six times in their own backyard this season while Guimaraes have only been beaten three times on the road, so you can see why we have backed an away win on Sunday.

Pacos Ferreira average 1.17 points per home game while Gumaraes average 1.27 points per away game and the hosts have lost half of those matches while the visitors have won 27% of theirs. Pacos Ferreira score an average of just 0.75 goals per home game and concede 1.00 goals while Guimaraes score an average of 1.64 goals per away game, which is why we have backed a final scoreline of 1-0 in the visitors’ favour.

Games between these two clubs have been very close in recent seasons

Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 67% of Pacos Ferreira’s home matches as well as in 55% of Guimaraes’ away trips and both teams have scored in just 33% of the hosts’ home games, adding further weight to our prediction for a narrow 1-0 away win this weekend. The hosts have failed to score in 50% of their home games while Guimaraes have only failed to score in 27% of their trips on the road, which could make all of the difference in what is expected to be a low-scoring ninety minutes on Sunday.

Pacos Ferreira have kept clean sheets in 33% of their home games so could prove a tough nut for the visitors to crack, but with 27% of clean sheets away from home, the visitors should also prove difficult to break down. Exactly 1-goal has been scored in a whopping 42% of Pacos Ferreira’s home games this season and a majority of their defeats (8) have been via a 1-goal margin, while Guimaraes have twice won by a 1-goal margin.

We’re confident that under 2.5 goals will be scored in Sunday’s match and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0 in favour of Guimaraes. The visitors arrive as the form favourites and have outperformed Pacos Ferreira in most departments so far this season. The hosts have lost more games than they have won at home and their guests have proven tricky to beat on their travels, but we expect this match to be tight and tense throughout.