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Paderborn vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Published on 5:00pm GMT 19 January 2020

  • 17:00
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Paderborn
    Bayer Leverkusen
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      Under 3.5 Match Goals

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      Draw 1-1

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      Paderborn vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

      • 13 of Bayer Leverkusen’s 17 Bundesliga fixtures this season have seen under 3.5 goals scored.
      • 11 of Paderborn’s 17 Bundesliga fixtures this season have seen under 3.5 goals scored. 
      • Both of these teams have conceded just four goals over the last four games. 
      • Paderborn have earned more points (7) than Bayer Leverkusen (6) over the last four games. 

      Both of these teams have seen mostly low-scoring games this season. 

      Bottom-placed Paderborn are set to face a visit from Bayer Leverkusen this Sunday in German Bundesliga action. Paderborn will hope to secure a result here to continue their fight against relegation. Meanwhile, Bayer Leverkusen will similarly hope to earn three points here to continue their push for a European qualification spot. 

      This game will cap off the Bundesliga’s first weekend of action, post-winter break. However, we don’t expect game week 18’s final game to produce fireworks. Both of these sides have produced plenty of low-scoring games this season. As a result, we expect this fixture to result in a relatively uneventful game.

      13 of Leverkusen’s 17 Bundesliga games have seen under 3.5 goals. This includes each of their last eight games and each of their last six away games. Meanwhile, 11 of Paderborn’s 17 Bundesliga games have also seen under 3.5 goals. This includes each of their last four games and six of their last seven home games. 

      Neither of these two teams have been particularly impressive in front of goal this season. Only one team in the top half of the Bundesliga have scored fewer goals than Bayer Leverkusen, who have scored 23 goals in their 17 games. 

      Meanwhile, Paderborn have scored just 20 goals in their 17 Bundesliga games. Only three Bundesliga teams have scored fewer goals than Paderborn this season. 

      We don’t expect much to separate these two on Sunday. 

      On top of a low-scoring game, we expect this fixture to produce a closely contested game. We don’t expect many goals to separate these two sides on Sunday. 

      Firstly, Paderborn have won just one of their 17 Bundesliga games this season by more than one goal. Similarly, Leverkusen have won just one of their last 11 Bundesliga games by more than one goal. 

      In addition to that, Paderborn haven’t lost any of their last seven Bundesliga home games by more than one goal. Meanwhile, Leverkusen have lost just one of their last nine Bundesliga games by more than one goal. 

      Bayer Leverkusen have had the best defensive record in the Bundesliga over the last six games. However, they also have the third-worst goalscoring record in the Bundesliga over the last six games. Only Werder Bremen and Fortuna Dusseldorf have scored fewer goals than Leverkusen in that time. We feel that not much is likely to separate these two on Sunday. 

      Paderborn’s recent upturn in form. 

      Paderborn have, evidently, struggled to secure wins this season. However, the Bundesliga’s bottom-placed side experienced a slight upturn in their fortunes in the final weeks prior to the winter break. They will be hopeful of carrying this improved form into Sunday’s game versus Leverkusen.

      Equal to the defensively impressive Leverkusen, Paderborn have conceded just four goals in their last four games. However, Paderborn have outperformed Leverkusen in attack during this time. They have scored four goals in the last four games, whereas Leverkusen have scored three goals in this time. 

      In addition to this, Paderborn have lost just one of their last four games. They have accumulated seven points in this time. This is a better points total than their opponents Leverkusen, who have accumulated just six points in the last four games. We feel that Paderborn’s recent form gives them a good chance of earning a result here. 

      We feel that a low-scoring game is likely to come of this fixture. Under 3.5 goals looks like it could be worth looking at for this one. We are backing under 3.5 goals to be scored here.

      We also feel that Paderborn stand a good chance at earning a positive result from this potentially low-scoring game. We feel that a 1-1 draw is a likely outcome of this fixture.

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