RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg Predictions

• Both sides progressed to the DFB Pokal semi-finals in midweek, but Leipzig did not require extra time.
• Leipzig are yet to draw a home league game and boast a 75% win-rate.
• Freiburg failed to win three of their last four away league games.
• Freiburg have never won an away H2H meeting with Leipzig.

Lively Leipzig can pull away from Freiburg

Both of these sides are locked on 40 points, with Leipzig holding onto fourth place ahead of the round by virtue of goal difference alone. While evenly matched in the table, Leipzig hold the edge due to their fantastic home league record this term (W9, L3).

Both sides made it into the final four of the DFB Pokal in midweek, though that is also perhaps another string to Leipzig’s bow, as Freiburg had to endure a tough period of extra time, with their eventual winner only arriving in the final moments (120′).

Such a laboured performance against second-tier opposition was not seen from Leipzig, who brushed Hannover aside by a 4-0 scoreline, scoring twice in both halves.

Home sweet home win

Leipzig are yet to lose a competitive home game in this calendar year and they are actually the best performing side in Germany when considering games played following the winter break (W6, D1).

While Freiburg are enjoying their second-best Bundesliga campaign in history when considering points earned at this stage, I predict that this will be a bridge too far for them.

The visitors’ only away win across the last four league trips came against relegation-threatened opponents, suggesting this will be much tougher. As such, I predict a Leipzig win, with 2-0 looking like a potentially strong pick in the correct score market.

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