San Marino vs Cyprus Predictions

• San Marino lost 10-0 to Austria on Thursday
• The hosts have conceded 3.85 xG per game in this group
• San Marino have lost all seven games they’ve played in 2025
• That includes conceding at least four times in all three home qualifying defeats

More misery for La Serenissima

San Marino have lost all of the matches they’ve played in 2025, but they’re still the only one of these two sides with a shot at making the World Cup.

Cyprus are eight points shy of second-placed Bosnia after the two shared a 2-2 draw on Thursday night. That means the Cypriots can finish no higher than third, while San Marino have a potential playoff spot after topping their Nations League group.

However, San Marino’s success in the bottom tier of the Nations League hasn’t carried over to this qualifying campaign. They’ve lost all six matches, conceding 28 times.

Thursday night brought a 10-0 hammering in Austria, while their three home matches have seen them lose 5-1 to Romania, 4-0 to the Austrians, and 6-0 to Bosnia.

Despite their six-game winless run, Cyprus are still scoring goals. They’ve netted twice in three of their last five, while they beat San Marino 2-0 in March. However, the visitors were 4-1 winners at San Marino in June 2024.

The hosts have conceded 3.85 xG per game, while Cyprus have given away far too many chances themselves. Goals should follow here, so back Cyprus to win with over 2.5 goals to be scored.