Cordoba vs Cultural Leonesa Predictions

• Cultural Leonesa have some of the worst defensive statistics in the division, including the highest xG Against
• The hosts won last time out, but five of their last six have featured both teams scoring
• The visitors have scored in three of their first four away trips, despite sitting in the drop zone

Defensive issues shouldn’t hold Cordoba back

Cultural Leonesa are third from bottom in the Spanish second tier, but if you dig a little deeper into their performances, they quickly begin to look like the league’s weakest side.

The visitors have conceded the third-highest number of shots this term, while only one side in the league has faced more shots on target. Only six teams have conceded more goals than them, but Leonesa have the highest Expected Goals conceded figure. The fact that they’ve conceded 12 times compared to their xG Against of 15.9 suggests they’re fortunate not to be further adrift of safety.

Cordoba are odds-on to follow up their 1-0 win over Zaragoza with another victory, but the hosts have their own issues. They’ve kept only two clean sheets so far, with both teams scoring in five of their last six games.

The home side conceded 1.06 xG in that win at Zaragoza, while they’re yet to keep a home clean sheet. For all of the visitors’ issues, they’ve scored six times across four trips, so they’re backed to find the net in a defeat.