Santa Clara vs Pacos Ferreira Predictions

• Santa Clara have failed to win their last five home games when at evens or shorter.
• Santa Clara have drawn seven of their last ten games.
• Pacos Ferreira have avoided defeat in five of their last eight away Primeira Liga games.
• Pacos Ferreira have avoided defeat in 11 of their last 15 league games.

Azoreans too often flop as strong favourites

Santa Clara look a touch too short in the match result market for Sunday’s Primeira Liga contest against seventh-placed Pacos Ferreira. The Azoreans are bidding to continue a superb run of home form that has seen them go ten games unbeaten at Estádio de São Miguel with six wins and four draws.

All appears to be going well for Mario Silva’s men, who can leapfrog their guests with a win here. The coach is set to sign a new contract, which will mean there should eb some continuity at the club and meaning to his selection.

However, Santa Clara have fallen short of victory when made strong home favourites this season, failing to do the business on the last five occasions they were posted up at even money or shorter.  This should be a concern to anyone thinking of backing the hosts at 21/20 here – particularly as Pacos have a solid track record of avoiding defeat on the road.

Beavers’ away results a barometer for Primeira Liga pecking order

The Beavers have been beaten in only four of their last 15 league games and all were against top-six clubs. Likewise, only the teams above Santa Clara have been able to beat Pacos Ferreira on the road. This should be a closely-fought contest with the draw appearing to be a big runner in match result betting.

Given Cesar Peixoto’s men have not won away against a team higher than 12th in the current standings, there seems little point in backing the visitors in the double chance market, so we’re on the draw at a bigger price.

Three of Pacos Ferreira’s last five away draws have ended 1-1 and with two of the last three Santa Clara games finishing that way, it would seem an obvious choice in correct score betting.

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