SK Brann vs Viking FK Predictions

• Brann have won two of three home clashes with the top five
• Viking lost their previous away trip and they’ve failed to beat a top-four side this season
• The visitors are outperforming their underlying numbers and could be vulnerable against a Brann side that see this as a must-win game

Must-win clash for the champions

Brann face a must-win game this weekend, as they sit nine points shy of leaders Viking. A defeat would leave them struggling to keep pace, but a win would move them within six points of top spot with a game in hand.

If the hosts are to mount a title challenge, they’ll need to improve their home record, which is the third-best in the division. However, they’ve won back-to-back matches at their own ground, while Viking have wobbled a little of late.

The visitors were eliminated from the cup with a 1-0 loss to Sarpsborg in their last away game, ending hopes of a league and cup double. Their previous league away day saw them draw 1-1 at Rosenborg, but they were second-best in terms of chances created.

Viking have failed to beat a top-four side in the league this term, while Brann have two wins from three at home to the top five.

A glance at the underlying numbers suggests there’s little between the pair. Brann are underperforming their xG numbers, while Viking are outperforming theirs. However, the two are split by only three Expected Points across their matches so far, despite Brann playing a game fewer. With home advantage, the gap between the pair should close even further, making Brann the standout bet.