Tondela vs Vitoria Setubal Predictions

• 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two clubs have produced under 2.5 goals.
• 3 of the last 5 league meetings between the pair have ended in draws.
• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 3 of Tondela’s last 6 league games.
• Both teams have scored in 4 of Tondela’s and 3 of Vitoria Setubal’s last 6 matches in all competitions.

Both teams are guilty of not soring enough goals

Tondela were held to a 1-1 draw at home by Moreirense last weekend while Vitoria Setubal secured a 1-0 away win against Belenenses, meaning that Sunday’s visitors now sit 2pts above the home side in the Primeira Liga table. With three of the last four league meetings between these two sides ending in stalemates and five of their last seven encounters producing under 2.5 goals, we’re expecting a tight and tense ninety minutes on Sunday.

Under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of Tondela’s last six league games while two of Vitoria Setubal’s last four matches have also seen fewer than three goals scored. The hosts have only won once in their own backyard this season but have drawn three times while Setubal have managed just two wins and two draws on the road, so you can see why we have backed the points to be shared this Sunday.

Tondela average 0.75 points per home game while Setubal average exactly 1.00 points per away game, with the hosts averaging 0.63 goals per home game and the visitors averaging 0.63 goals per away game, which adds further weight to our prediction for under 2.5 goals to be scored and supports our final score tip for a 1-1 draw.

Tondela have already drawn 38% of their home games in the Primeira Liga

Over 2.5 goals have only been scored in 25% of Tondela’s home games this season as well as in just 38% of Setubal’s away games, providing even more reason to back under 2.5 goals to be scored this weekend. Both teams have scored in half of Tondela’s home games though which suggests that there is a good chance that the scoreline will end 1-1. The visitors have only scored 5 goals on the road and the hosts have netted just 5 times in their own backyard and both teams boast decent defensive records this season.

Tondela have only failed to score in 38% of their home matches and have only won-to-nil in 12% of games, which is why we believe Setubal will take home a point on Sunday courtesy of a 1-1 draw. Exactly 2-goals have been scored in 25% of Tondela’s home games this season and the hosts have drawn 38% of the matches played in front of their own fans.

We’re confident that under 2.5 goals will be produced in Sunday’s clash and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-1 between the pair. Both teams struggle to score goals but often prove tricky to break down and recent encounters between the two clubs suggest that the most likely result is a low-scoring draw this Sunday.