Verona vs SPAL Predictions

• SPAL have conceded 1.9 goals per game on the road this season
• The visitors have shipped two goals or more in eight of their last nine matches
• Verona have scored twice at home to each of the bottom six so far
• The visitors have lost to nil on eight occasions on the road this term

Winless runs for both

Two sides who are in need of a victory meet on Wednesday as the Serie A season winds down. SPAL (0) and Verona (two) are the two sides with the fewest wins in Serie A post-lockdown. While that isn’t a shock for a SPAL side who will be playing in Serie B next term, Verona restarted the campaign with genuine hope of making it into Europe next season.

Verona are winless in their last seven league games (D4 L3), their worst run since the end of the 2017/18 season (eight matches without a victory on that occasion). This looks like the perfect chance to change that. SPAL shared a 1-1 draw in their last game against Torino – last time they went unbeaten in consecutive league games was back in November.

Away woes for SPAL

A big part of the visitors’ early demotion to Serie B was their poor results away from home. They come into this clash with the worst away record in the division, losing 14 of their 18 trips. It’s hardly a shock after that form that Verona have been priced up as the favourites here, while we’re siding with the hosts to cause more problems for a side who look rudderless on their travels.

The visitors have been wide open at the back, letting in 34 goals on their travels at an average of 1.9 per game. They’ve shipped at least two goals in six of their last seven matches on the road in Serie A, while their last nine games during the restart have seen them concede twice or more in eight occasions. That poor record has us siding with Verona in our predictions for this clash.

Verona’s scoring touch

The hosts have a solid record in front of goal, having hit 26 goals across their home matches so far this term. They’ve scored at least twice in nine of their home clashes, which has been weighted towards their encounters with the sides towards the foot of the table. They’ve scored twice in each of their clashes with the bottom six here, with the opportunity for the clean sweep in this encounter.

The hosts have enough about them to punish a poor SPAL backline. The visitors have consistently conceded goals on the road, so we see value in backing over 1.5 Verona team goals in our predictions here. On top of that, we’re backing the hosts to add to SPAL’s run of away defeats, with a 2-0 home win our pick having seen the visitors lose to nil on eight occasions so far.

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