Thanks to the return of the Champions League, it feels like just the blink of an eye since we were enjoying top level football across the continent. Now it’s time to turn our attentions back to the Premier League as the teams prepare for gameweek 6. As always, we’ve got all the best corners and cards predictions for the upcoming weekend action.
Read More – FST’s Ultimate Guide to the Champions League.
Leicester vs Huddersfield
Our weekend of perusing the corners and cards markets begins at 3pm on Saturday, as the struggling Huddersfield make the trip to the King Power Stadium in search of their first victory. Despite their strength in the air, it’s unlikely that the goal will come from the corner flag. Leicester’s games this season have averaged just 9.6 corners per game, with Leicester themselves only winning 4.8 corners per game. Huddersfield’s only away game against a fellow bottom 14 club saw just seven corners, and only two of their five matches so far have ended with more than ten corners on the tally. This makes Under 10 Corners at 6/5 look a good value bet.
Liverpool vs Southampton
With three of the traditional big six of the Premier League in action at 3pm on Saturday, there was always bound to be plenty of opportunities, and a couple of these promising chances are likely to come from Anfield. The perfect record of Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool host Southampton, but we’re not expecting them to keep a perfect record in the referee’s eyes. The hosts have averaged a card per game this season and are facing a Saints side who saw their opponents pick up 1.42 cards per away game last season. This transferred over to these high profile affairs too, with their big six opposition averaging 1.33 cards per game. So far this season, Southampton’s opposition have picked up an average of 1.2 cards per game, so backing Liverpool Over 0.5 Cards at 4/6 looks a good choice.
Heading back to the corners market now, and we’re not expecting Liverpool to fare well there either. Southampton have only conceded nine corners in their two away games this season, and overall they have conceded an average of 4.2 corners per game this season. Meanwhile, Liverpool have only averaged 5.2 corners per game this season, with that only rising to six per game when against bottom 14 opposition. Considering Southampton have conceded more than six corners in just one of their five league games this season, odds of 11/10 for Liverpool Under 6.5 Team Corners looks fantastic value.
Manchester United vs Wolves
Manchester United are another one of the big guns in action on Saturday afternoon, and they will be up against it when the newly promoted Wolves come to Old Trafford. Once again, we’re not expecting the favourites to make much of an impact from the corner flags. Manchester United have won six or more corners in just one of their five league games this season, and they’re facing a Wolves side who have conceded more than five corners just twice. The hosts have averaged exactly five corners pr game this season, and Wolves have conceded an impressive 4.8 per outing. It’s no better at Old Trafford either, with Jose Mourinho’s men trotting to the corner flag just seven times in their two home games this season, and with Wolves only conceding five corners in their two away games we really like the look of Man Utd Under 5.5 Team Corners at 11/10.
That being said, we’re not expecting Wolves to fare much better either. Three of the visitors’ five Premier League games have seen fewer than ten corners in total, as have four of Man Utd’s five league outings. The Old Trafford crowd have witnessed just 14 corners in the two matches there this season, and Wolves have only seen 18 corners in their two away matches. Backing Under 10 Total Corners at 11/10 looks a great shout as well.
Finally, we head to the cards market for yet more bad news for the Red Devils. Manchester United have already picked up 12 cards this season, including sendings off for both Rashford and Matic. Four of these cards have come in their two home games, and they have picked up at least two cards in four of their five league matches this season. This isn’t a new development though – They averaged 1.53 cards per game at Old Trafford last season, and with Wolves’ opposition picking up multiple cards in all five of their matches so far we’re backing Manchester United Over 1.5 Team Cards at 13/8.
Burnley vs Bournemouth
From Old Trafford to the slightly less glamorous Turf Moor, where a dreadful looking Burnley side try to mount a resurgence against the vastly impressive Bournemouth. Again, it’s looking a bit thin on the ground in terms of corners. Both of these teams did see an average of over 11 corners per game in their respective home and away games last season, but things have changed substantially this term. Just one of Burnley’s five outings so far have seen more than ten corners, and Bournemouth have only seen 11 or more corners twice. Neither of the games at Turf Moor have reached the 11 corner mark, and only one of The Cherries’ four games against fellow bottom 14 clubs have. This makes Under 10.5 Corners at 5/6 look a good shout.
Sean Dyche’s team are struggling for goals, points, and even corners this season, but one thing they could collect a few of on Saturday is cards. They are facing a Bournemouth side who seem very adept at getting their opponents into trouble at the moment, with four of their five matches so far seeing their opposition carded more than once. In fact, Bournemouth have gotten their opponents’ names in the referee’s notebook a league high 17 times this season, including eight times in their two away games. Odds of 8/11 for Burnley Over 1.5 Team Cards look very promising.
Cardiff vs Manchester City
Pep Guardiola might not be a manager renowned for his set piece tactics, but that certainly doesn’t stop his Manchester City side traipsing over to the corner flag on a more than regular basis. The Citizens have won a huge 42 corners in their five games this season, with their average per game sitting at 8.4. They have won more than seven corners in four of these five matches, and they averaged a similar looking 8.29 corners per game when away against bottom 14 sides last season. Cardiff’s only home game against a top six side this season saw them concede nine corners, so backing Manchester City Over 7.5 Team Corners at 11/10 looks a good idea.
The bookies seem to have the overwhelming opinion that teams facing Manchester City get into a lot of trouble with the referee, but that’s simply not the case. In fact, just two of Manchester City’s five games this season have seen their opposition carded more than once, and there have been just nine total cards dished out in these five games. Cardiff, despite their physical presence, have only been cautioned seven times this season, and three of their five outings have seen them limit themselves to a single booking or less. Despite this, we’re offered the very generous odds of 11/8 for Carduff Under 1.5 Team Cards.
Brighton vs Tottenham
Saturday’s evening kickoff in the Premier League takes us to the south coast, where a struggling Tottenham come face to face with Brighton at the Amex Stadium. In what is becoming a theme of this Saturday, we’re expecting a relative scarcity in the corners department. Both of Brighton’s home games this season have seen exactly eight corners, and their overall average in the Premier League this season is 8.8 total corners per game. Tottenham’s is even lower at just 7.8 corners per game, and only four of their combined ten matches have seen the corner count exceed eight. Add to this the fact that Brighton’s six matches at home to the top six last season resulted in fewer than nine corners half the time, and backing Under 9 Corners at 7/4 looks hugely valuable.
Next up is a favourite market of ours. So far this season we’ve tipped players to be booked three times (Xhaka, Valencia, Capoue) and in every instance those bets have landed. The latest player on our radar is Brighton’s Dale Stephens, who has already managed to amass three cautions despite the early stage of the season. The holding midfielder was booked six times last season and will have the unenviable task of keeping Christian Eriksen and Lucas Moura quiet. As you can image, these talented attackers are a nightmare to deal with, and three of Tottenham’s five outings this season have seen their oppositions’ deeper midfielder go into the referee’s book. Backing Dale Stephens to get booked at 5/1 looks like a great price.
West Ham vs Chelsea
Sunday’s opener in the Premier League takes us to the London Stadium as Chelsea make the short journey over to West Ham, and still we’re expecting a lower than average corner count. Maurizio Sarri’s Chelsea have only won more than five corners in one of their league games this season, and West Ham have only conceded more than five corners once too. The Hammeres have conceded just 4.8 corners per game on average this season, and when at home against the top six last season they had an almost identical record of 4.83 corners conceded per game. Chelsea, meanwhile, won just 4.07 corners per game when away against the bottom 14 last season, making a Chelsea Under 5.5 Team Corners bet at 8/11 look very attractive.
West Ham aren’t exactly the most prolific of set piece winners either though, so we could be in for a low corner-scoring game on Sunday. In fact, Chelsea and West Ham have each seen more than nine corners in just one of their five respective games this season, and West Ham’s average corner count of 6.83 per game at home to the top six was the lowest in the top flight last season. The Hammers’ didn’t see the corner count creep into double figures at all when at home to the top six last season, and Chelsea’s record complements this. Last season, their trips to bottom 14 clubs yielded just 7.64 corners per game, which again is the lowest in the league, so backing Under 9.5 Corners at 8/11 seems a good choice.
This is looking like a game rife with value, and the cards market has it’s fair share too. Manuel Pellegrini has seen his players pick up a huge 18 cards already this season, whilst their opposition have only gone into the referee’s book seven times. Chelsea, meanwhile, have been carded just four times this season and seen their opposition get into trouble nine times. As you might expect with figures such as these, West Ham have been dealt more cards than their opposition in all five of their games this season, and with them getting booked six times to Chelsea’s once in this fixture last season we really like the look of West Ham 0 Card Handicap at 10/11.
Obviously we’re expecting a few cards to be thrust towards the Hammers’, and we have a fairly good idea of who might be one of the recipients. Pablo Zabaleta was West Ham’s most booked player last season with nine cards, and he has managed to pick up a booking in each of his two league appearances this term. The right back position certainly seems to be troublesome for the hosts, with four of their five games this season seeing their right back go into the book. It doesn’t help their chances that Zabaleta is likely to face up to Eden Hazard either, who was the third most fouled player in the top flight last season. To make matters even worse, referee Mike Dean handed out a Premier League high 3.72 yellow cards per game last season, and he’ll have his gaze trained on Zabaleta’s contest with the talented Belgian. Even with odds of 6/4, backing Zabaleta to get booked still looks a great bet.
Arsenal vs Everton
The weekend of Premier League action draws to a close at the Emirates Stadium on Sunday afternoon, and surprise surprise it’s not looking promising for the corner lovers out there. None of Everton’s league games this season have seen the corner tally hit double figures, and Arsenal’s only home game against a bottom 14 side saw fewer than ten corners as well. The Toffees have seen a total of 37 corners awarded in their matches this season, averaging a meagre 7.4 per game, and with just two of their six away games against top six sides last season having ten or more corners we like the look of Under 10 Corners at 5/4.
Unai Emery’s Gunners’ are a little more prolific when it comes to collecting cards though. The hosts have picked up nine cards already this season and have been booked more than once in three of their five games. Meanwhile, Everton have seen their opposition carded 14 times in total this term, an average of 2.8 per match. In addition to this, Richarlison will return for Marco Silva’s outfit on Sunday, with the Brazilian attacker holding the dubious honour of being the most fouled player in the Premier League last season. For these reasons, a bet of Arsenal Over 1.5 Team Cards at 1/1 looks a fantastic shout.
Once again, we’re making a good guess at who could be on the receiving end of one of these bookings. Granit Xhaka isn’t exactly renowned for his flawless disciplinary record, and his ten cautions for Arsenal last season was a tally only topped by Oriol Romeu. Xhaka hasn’t toned it down for the new campaign either, picking up three yellow cards already this season. Sunday will see Jonathan Moss keep a close eye on the Swiss midfielder, and considering the referee dished out 3.69 yellow cards per game last season (2nd highest in the Premier League) we think odds of 2/1 for Xhaka to add a fourth booking to his name look very generous.
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