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Euro 2020 dark horse predictions & betting tips
Alex Wrigley
Alex Wrigley
June 4, 2021
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Content Editor at Free Super Tips, Alex was born in the shadow of Old Trafford and is an avid Man Utd fan. After graduating from university he combined his love of football, writing and betting to join FST and now closely follows goings-on in all of the top European leagues.

We’re just a week out from the start of Euro 2020 and our experts have been hard at work delving into the outright betting markets.

Following on from our Euro 2020 winners prediction on Thursday, we’ll be taking a look at a couple of dark horses that we’re tipping to outperform expectations this month.

We’ll have plenty more to come over the next few days, including our picks for the top goalscorer award, a group stage accumulator and the views of some experts from across the industry. Make sure to check out our Euro 2020 news section so you don’t miss out on the action!

Euro 2020 dark horse predictions

Denmark at 28/1

Their shock win in 1992 aside, Denmark don’t exactly have a stellar record in the European Championships but there’s every reason to believe that could change this year.

Belgium are firm favourites for Group B but Denmark are streets ahead of Finland and Russia in terms of quality and the fact they play all three of their group games in Copenhagen is a massive boost to their chances.

Providing they finish as Group B runners up, the path through the rest of the tournament is looking decidedly favourable for the Danes. They will face the runners up in Group A – one of Turkey, Italy, Wales or Switzerland – in the last 16 before heading to Baku to face either the winner of Group C or one of the third-placed teams.

It’s not like they need a particularly easy run, either. Denmark have plenty of talent in their ranks and while star man Christian Eriksen takes the limelight there are plenty of capable and well-established internationals surrounding him.

Kasper Schmeichel is an FA Cup winning goalkeeper and Andreas Christensen – who will partner veteran Simon Kjaer at the back – just won the Champions League. Thomas Delaney and Pierre-Emile-Hojbjerg make for an excellent midfield pivot and young Copenhagen striker Jonas Wind could pip Kasper Dolberg to the central striker role.

Denmark are the shortest price outside the big eight nations we outlined in our winners prediction article, but they look very good value nonetheless.

Read all our analysis over on our Denmark team guide & best bet article.

Ukraine at 50/1

Like Denmark, Ukraine’s European Championship record doesn’t inspire confidence but they have a young and talented squad and could well upset the odds this summer.

Netherlands are the favourites to win Group C but have a relatively average squad and a dismal record recently, so there is every chance Ukraine could actually top the group ahead of them, Austria and North Macedonia. That would make for a very favourable path to the final for Andriy Shevchenko, but even if they don’t win Group C they should have very little issue making it to the knockout stages.

Ukraine’s squad is deceptively good, too. Manchester City’s Oleksandr Zinchenko is the standout star and is expected to ply his trade in midfield rather than the left-back slot he occupies in Pep Guardiola’s side. Other key figures include Andriy Yarmolenko and Ruslan Malinovskyi, but one overlooked factor is how familiar these players are with one another.

17 of the 26 players in the squad play for either Dynamo Kiev or Shakhtar Donetsk, with five of the eight defenders named plying their trade for Ukrainian champions Dynamo. That could be a very significant factor heading into a tournament of fine margins.

Read all our analysis over on our Ukraine team guide & best bet article.

Euro 2020 dark horse odds

  • Denmark – 28/1
  • Croatia – 33/1
  • Turkey – 50/1
  • Ukraine – 50/1
  • Russia – 66/1
  • Switzerland – 66/1
  • Austria – 80/1
  • Poland – 80/1
  • Sweden – 100/1
  • Czech Republic – 150/1
  • Wales – 200/1
  • Scotland – 250/1
  • Slovakia – 250/1
  • Hungary – 400/1
  • Finland – 500/1
  • North Macedonia – 500/1

More betting news:

Euro 2020: England team guide & best bet

Euro 2020: Scotland team guide & best bet

May tip report: US winners make for a huge month!

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