AC Milan vs Sampdoria Predictions

• Milan have Leao back for this clash, who makes a huge difference to their winning percentage
• Sampdoria are already relegated and are comfortably the league’s worst side
• The visitors have lost by at least two goals in five of six visits to the top eight

Milan have no time for heartbreak

After suffering a 1-0 loss to Inter Milan in the Champions League in midweek, morale is surely low for AC Milan. The dethroned champions have missed out on a return to European football’s biggest game to their city rivals, but they have pressing concerns heading into this weekend.

Milan are four points shy of fourth and at risk of missing out on the Champions League altogether next season. They could sneak in if Juventus receive a points hit, but the Rossoneri need to take matters into their own hands across their final three games and make a push for fourth.

Samp offer little resistance

Milan will get a boost in this clash given that they face the league’s bottom side, who have looked terrible for most of the campaign. Sampdoria have picked up the fewest points away from home in Serie A this season (nine in 17 matches) and they have also conceded the joint-most away goals in the Italian top-flight.

The good news continues for the Rossoneri with Rafael Leao expected to feature. He makes a huge difference for Milan, as they’ve won 49% of their matches with the winger on the pitch in the current season in all competitions, scoring 1.5 goals on average. Without him, the Rossoneri have lost each of the other four games, scoring 0.5 goals.

AC Milan have scored the most goals in the first 30 minutes of matches in Serie A this season, so they have every chance of getting ahead early against Samp and recording a routine win. The visitors have lost 12 of 17 trips and they’ve suffered eight defeats by two or more. They’ve lost by at least two in five of six visits to the top eight, so back a comfortable Milan win.

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