Barcelona vs Sevilla Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

  • 17:30
  • Expired
  • Camp Nou
Barcelona
Sevilla

Tip Reasoning

This isn’t quite the big showdown it promised to be a month back when Sevilla were looking like serious title challengers. The Andalusians have really hit a horrible run of form and come into this game without a win in 5 matches, having failed to see off lowly Sporting Gijon at home at the weekend. Morale must have taken a massive hit as a result and it’s hard to see them really even getting close to Barcelona here.

The Catalans scored 4 even without Leo Messi at Granada on Sunday but the Argentine is back from an extended break following international and domestic suspensions here and he’ll no doubt be keen to get going again. If it wasn’t for a shock 2-1 defeat at Deportivo, we’d be talking about an excellent Barcelona run of form when they’ve played some of the best football they’ve managed all season. A change in system has helped bring 7 wins out of 8 in all competitions and they’ve fired in a ridiculous 26 goals in their last 6 games alone.

Sevilla aren’t the best defensively so you have to wonder how they are going to keep Barca’s star-studded attack quiet here. Sevilla have let in 1.47 goals per game away this season in La Liga and have conceded 3 or more goals in 4 of their last 9 away games in all competitions. That suggests Luis Suarez, who is the main striker and focal point of this new-look Barca attacking formation, will have a good day. He has netted 6 goals in his last 6 Barcelona games and backing Suarez to score twice or more at 13/8 could be worth a punt.

The visitors are perhaps suffering from a bit of fatigue after a long hard season and if they fall behind early in this one, it’d be no surprise to see a few heads drop and a very one-sided game materialise. Sevilla haven’t even got close to the level they reached earlier in the campaign during the last six matches and a repeat level of performance here would surely lead to a convincing Barcelona win.

An away goal can’t be ruled out though and it’s worth noting both teams have scored in a huge 73% of Sevilla’s away matches this term and 57% of Barcelona’s home games. Therefore we should see plenty of goals in this one but mostly for the hosts and backing Barcelona to Win & Over 3.5 goals at 5/6 looks to offer value.

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