Brazil vs Argentina Predictions

  • 19:00
  • Expired
  • Neo Química Arena

Argentina to Win

11/5odds when tipped
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Argentina 1-0

15/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Argentina beat hosts Brazil 1-0 in the Copa America Final two months ago.
  • Brazil are without nine England-based players, including five frequent starters in Ederson, Thiago Silva, Fred, Richarlison and Gabriel Jesus plus the suspended Marquinhos.
  • Argentina are unbeaten in 21 games.
  • Argentina have beaten Brazil 1-0 in their last two meetings.

Beating Brazil may not require Albiceleste’s best

Brazil are one of three elite football nations never to have lost a home men’s World Cup qualifying game, but there’s a real chance that proud record could fall in Sao Paulo on Sunday.

The Selecao are without half of their best XI as suspension sees Marquinhos miss out, while English clubs have prevented their players from boarding private jets, and they are facing the team that ended their seven-year unbeaten run on home soil just two months ago in the Copa America final.

Argentina may not be able to replicate the display that saw them end Lionel Messi’s long quest for silverware in an Albiceleste shirt, but they may not have to in order to get the win as Brazil are much weaker on paper than they were back when these sides met in July.

Messi was nowhere near his best in that game and was seen limping on his return to Brazil after being on the receiving end of a harsh tackle from Adrián Martínez that saw Venezuela reduced to ten men early in Argentina’s 3-1 win in Caracas.

He can still influence games by standing still, however, and his free-kick prowess ensures La Pulga could still be a major factor in a game of few chances – as matches between these sides have so often been of late.

Argentina extended their unbeaten run to 21 games this week and can also take confidence from winning their last two against their greatest rivals.

Brazil weren’t particularly convincing in their 1-0 qualifying win in Chile, where their hosts felt they deserved a penalty for a challenge by Casemiro on Arturo Vidal that the referee and VAR missed or ignored.

None of this makes Brazil appeal as favourites for this contest with little home advantage to be gained from a crowd of 1,500 invited guests after the CBF abandoned plans to have a 12,000 crowd waiting to welcome Argentina.

History, therefore, beckons for Argentina and they look very backable at the price and likewise to pull off a third 1-0 win on the trot against their great rivals.

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