Brighton vs Liverpool Predictions

• There have been 22 goals scored across Brighton’s last six games
• Liverpool’s two games since winning the title have each seen over 3.5 goals land
• Those two matches have featured a combined 9.0 Expected Goals
• Gakpo has scored three times across the first two encounters between these sides this season

Brighton bid for Euro return

Brighton head into the penultimate weekend of the Premier League campaign level on points with eighth-placed Brentford, offering them a shot at a return to European football. There’s a good chance that eighth will be enough for a Conference League spot, so the Seagulls have plenty to play for on Monday night.

Liverpool have the title wrapped up, with their campaign coming to a close against Crystal Palace on Sunday. The Reds look to be enjoying the relief of sealing the title, having taken one point from their two games since clinching the trophy. That offers a motivated Brighton side the chance to take all three points, but the visitors have continued to threaten going forward.

Gakpo can trouble the Seagulls again

Cody Gakpo has been in and out of the Liverpool side, but the Dutchman is making his presence felt down the stretch. He scored in the 5-1 victory over Tottenham which took Liverpool over the line, while he followed that up with his 10th league goal of the campaign in Sunday’s 2-2 draw with Arsenal.

Gakpo has thrived against Brighton this season, scoring twice when the pair met at the Amex in the Carabao Cup. The forward netted an equaliser at Anfield in November, a key goal that inspired a turnaround which lifted the Reds above Manchester City and into top spot.

With Gakpo scoring in two of his last three appearances, back him to hurt Brighton once again.

Relaxed Reds should open the game up

Liverpool struggled to match Chelsea’s intensity in their first game after winning the title, conceding 3.1 xG in a 3-1 loss at Stamford Bridge. They still pushed forward at the Blues, while they raced into a 2-0 lead over a demoralised Arsenal side last weekend.

The visitors’ two games since sealing the title have featured a combined 9.0 xG, while they’re playing a Brighton side who see this as a must-win game. The Seagulls have managed only three clean sheets in 18 home league games this term, so they’ll need to out-do the champions going forward.

Half of Liverpool’s away trips have featured at least four goals, including two of their previous three trips – that 3-1 loss to Chelsea and a 3-2 defeat at Fulham. The hosts have seen 22 goals scored across their previous six outings, while they have the attacking options to trouble a Liverpool side that appears to have lost their intensity defensively. Back over 3.5 goals, with the hosts tipped for a 3-2 win.