Cagliari vs Sassuolo Predictions

• Cagliari are winless in their last four games, conceding twice in three of those
• Three of Sassuolo’s four defeats this term have come against the top four
• The visitors have beaten Udinese, Lazio, and Hellas Verona this season
• Cagliari are bottom of the Expected Points table, conceding a league high 13.8 xG

Neroverdi are levels above hosts

Sassuolo have enjoyed a strong return to Serie A, largely due to keeping key members of a squad which shouldn’t have gone down. The visitors pushed Roma in a 1-0 defeat at the weekend, while three of their four defeats this term have come against the top four.

There’s little between these two in the standings, but that could change by Thursday evening. Cagliari have the worst underlying numbers in the division following last weekend’s fixtures. They’ve created just 6.8 Expected Goals, while they’ve got a league-high 13.8 xG conceded.

Cagliari lost the xG battle 1.9 to 1.1 in their only home win, a 2-0 success over Parma. So far, the bulk of their points have come against the six sides below them. That’s in line with last season’s performance, when eight of the Sardinians’ nine league wins came against the bottom seven.

Sassuolo have already recorded wins over Udinese, Lazio, and Hellas Verona, while they look primed to climb up the standings before long. That suggests they’ll have too much for a Cagliari side who are winless in four, so take the value on the visitors to win.