- Stamford Bridge
- Chelsea sit fourth in the Premier League, having put a five-point gap between themselves and fifth-placed Manchester United.
- Nottingham Forest are fourth in the Championship, winning three in a row, although they sit nine points off the automatic promotion places.
- Chelsea have scored 1.71 goals per game on average this season, conceding 1.38 goals per game.
- Nottingham Forest have scored 1.36 goals per game this season but have conceded just a goal a game on average.
- In total, 61% of Chelsea games have seen both teams score this season, with Nottingham Forest featuring in games where both sides have scored 50% of the time.
Can Chelsea perform as expected and claim the win?
Chelsea have slightly overperformed this season with many predicting them to struggle in the midst of a transfer ban and Eden Hazard leaving the club. They’ve performed well though, using the mix of experience and youth at their disposal to move into the Champions League places and progress in European competition as well.
In the league, they’ve averaged 1.71 goals per game, scoring 36 in 21 with Tammy Abraham leading their scoring charts with 12. Defensively they’ve been a little suspect, conceding 29 goals, an average of 1.38 goals per game.
The side made it to the fifth round of the FA Cup last season before being beaten by Manchester United but prior to that they had been to the final for two seasons in a row, winning the competition in 2018. Their chances of winning the Premier League look slim at best so they’ll be hoping to progress further in this competition and add some more silverware to their cabinet in Frank Lampard’s first season in charge.
Forest flying the Championship
Nottingham Forest currently sit fourth in the Championship with three wins in a row pushing them into the play-off places. The goals of Lewis Grabban have certainly helped the side progress this season with the striker netting 14 times so far.
Recent wins over Blackburn, Wigan and Hull have given the side some real confidence but they still remain nine points behind the automatic promotion places where Leeds and West Brom have been running away with things so far.
The numbers behind Nottingham Forest’s season make good reading for the fans, with the side scoring an average of 1.36 goals per game so far and conceding just one a game on average. Their defensive solidity has been their biggest asset so far but they’ll face a tougher test this weekend when they come up against a Chelsea attack that has taken on Europe’s best this season.
Is there any chance of a shock?
The two sides are both doing very well in their respective leagues but there is still a big gulf in quality between them, something that should be evident this weekend. The standout stat is both teams have scored in Chelsea games in 61% of their matches this season; that figure sits at 50% for games featuring Nottingham Forest.
We’re therefore backing the two sides to both find the net this weekend, with Forest having a potent attack but Chelsea benefitting from the luxury of being one of the richest clubs in European football. The strength of the Chelsea side should shine through in the end and they should do enough to claim the win without the need of a replay.
We’re predicting the hosts will run out 3-1 winners, a scoreline that gives us plenty of value and underlines the strength in depth Chelsea have. It also shows Nottingham Forest to be a bit more than pushovers when it comes to this contest.