SV Darmstadt vs Stuttgart Predictions

• Darmstadt are searching for just a third home league win of the season.
• Only three 2. Bundesliga teams have scored less home goals than Darmstadt this season.
• Away from home, Stuttgart have taken less than half the points they have at home.
• Darmstadt have never beaten Stuttgart; they’ve lost two of the previous four renewals.

Lack of home wins a problem for hosts

When Darmstadt got the better of Hannover a few weeks ago, it looked as though they were back on the up; but they’ve since gone in the wrong direction, taking just one point from their last two matches, which means they’ve now won just one of their last five league games.

Darmstadt now find themselves just four points above the bottom three. One of the main reasons for such a poor league position is they’ve struggled to win games at home, winning just two out of their seven games at Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor.

Ten goals in seven home games doesn’t sound like a terrible total, but in what is generally a high-scoring league, it’s not great. Until they start to score more, Darmstadt will struggle to improve their home record.

Stuttgart must improve on travels

Like Darmstadt at home, Stuttgart haven’t been prolific winners on the road, which could end up being their downfall. Promotion is the only goal for Monday’s visitors this season; but until they start to collect more points on the road, they’ll struggle to cement themselves inside the top two.

Again, like Darmstadt at home, Stuttgart haven’t been too forthcoming in terms of goals scored on the road, notching only nine. Nine in seven doesn’t sound too bad, but as 2. Bundesliga tends to be a goal-filled division, it again isn’t great. Ten teams are in double figures when it comes to goals away from home, which tells us Stuttgart probably need to improve from an attacking point of view, especially since they’re a promotion-chasing team and especially since they’ve conceded 13.

Hosts too big in the betting

Stuttgart are the side that has won more games recently, while they are higher up the table. Since most of their good work has come at home and since they’ve been anything but consistent, though, it’s easy to feel the hosts have a much better chance of doing well than the current prices would have us believe. On this basis, a punt on ‘Darmstadt +0.50 Asian Handicap’, which yields a win as long as Darmstadt avoid defeat, would be good value given the away form of the visitors.

Stuttgart have conceded more goals than they’ve scored on the road and are now without a win in three on the road, each of which they’ve lost. During that time, they’ve scored three and have conceded nine. By contrast, for all they’re not prolific winners at home, Darmstadt are tough to beat on their own patch, losing just one of their seven home games this year.