- Channel 4
- There have been goals at both ends in six of Italy’s last nine games.
- The Azzurri have conceded in eight of their last nine games.
- England have scored in 15 of their last 16 games.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last five meetings between these two sides, including the 1-1 draw after 90 minutes in the Euro 2020 final last summer.
Empty Molineux hosts Euro 2020 final repeat
England take on Italy in the Nations League on Saturday in a repeat of the Euro 2020 final at Molineux.
The game will be played behind closed doors due to the crowd trouble before the Azzurri overcame Gareth Southgate’s men on penalties in the final at Wembley last summer, so England may not benefit quite so much from any home advantage.
Southgate has a few injury issues to contend with and Kalvin Phillips looks unlikely to be involved after suffering a dead leg in the 1-1 draw with Germany. Phil Foden needs to return a negative Covid-19 test, while Trent Alexander-Arnold has left the squad.
Italy have no fresh injury concerns but Leonardo Bonucci and Andrea Belotti have left the squad early, and boss Roberto Mancini is expected to rotate once again so it could be a very different starting XI to the one that claimed a 2-1 win over Hungary in their last game.
The hosts are rated as the favourites to win – but after unconvincing performances in defeat to Hungary and the draw with Germany last time out it may be best to look at other markets for the main bet and both teams to score looks a good starting point.
Both sides struggling in defence
England have managed five clean sheets in their last 10 games but those have come against Ivory Coast, San Marino, Albania and Andorra (twice), and they only have one clean sheet in their last four.
There have been goals at both ends in both of Italy’s Nations League games so far and in six of their last nine games overall, with their only clean sheet during that run coming in a drab 0-0 clash with Northern Ireland in Belfast in November.
Both teams scored in the Euro 2020 final as that finished 1-1 and there have been goals at both ends in each of the last five meetings between these two sides in a run stretching back to 2012.
Another score draw on the cards?
England did hold Germany to a 1-1 draw in Munich earlier this week but they were perhaps lucky to avoid defeat as a late Harry Kane penalty cancelled out Jonas Hofmann’s opener.
The Three Lions are tough to beat on at home, however, and they have gone 15 games without defeat inside 90 minutes on English soil.
Italy may not be performing at the same level they were when they won Euro 2020 but they have still been picking up results and after drawing with Germany and beating Hungary they will feel they can get a result, so a 1-1 draw looks a reasonable option in the correct score market.
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