SC Freiburg vs TSG Hoffenheim Predictions

• Freiburg are unbeaten in ten of their 11 home league games this season.
• Hoffenheim have lost nine of their last ten Bundesliga games.
• Freiburg are unbeaten in seven of the last eight H2H encounters (W5, D2, L1).

Freiburg can pile further misery upon Hoffenheim

Freiburg head into this clash after losing 1-0 away to Italian giants Juventus in the first leg of their crunch Europa League knockout game, a creditable result which leaves them well in the tie ahead of the return just four days after this clash.

Although that may play on the minds of Freiburg, facing off against a Hoffenheim side that have failed to win seven of the last eight H2Hs and were defeated in nine of their last ten league games could be just the tonic to boost confidence ahead of next Thursday’s big game.

The hosts have lost just one home league game all season and that was against title-chasing Borussia Dortmund, so they should enter this clash with an expectation of victory. On the other hand, Hoffenheim have lost seven straight games that make up part of a torrid 14-game winless run beginning in October last year.

Hot favourites Freiburg rarely let you down

Incredibly, Freiburg have entered 15 Bundesliga games as pre-match favourites this season and lost none (W11, D4). Christian Streich’s men are the only side to enter 4+ games as favourites this season without losing any of them.

Hoffenheim’s record as pre-match outsiders in league action matches up perfectly for the home win, with ten defeats from 11 such games this term. It should be noted that the only victory in that sequence came away from home, but that 3-0 win at Leverkusen was way back in August!

We’re sticking with Freiburg to win here at a respectable price given the apparent gulf in both class and form. For smaller stakes, we’re going for a rather conservative 2-0 home win in the correct score market, one which matches up with the fact Freiburg’s home games have featured under 2.5 goals more often than not.

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