FSV Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor Predictions

• Samsunspor are winless in six matches, suffering three straight defeats
• Mainz’s five Conference League clashes have featured a total of only eight goals
• Mainz have won three of their five Conference League fixtures, all wins of which came by a single goal and two of which ended 1-0

Mainz to make the most of home advantage

Mainz and Samsunspor have both collected ten points from five Conference League fixtures, so there is plenty riding on this closing encounter as they bid to nail down an all-important top-eight finish.

It is likely to be a win and you are in situation, as finishing top eight enables you to make the round of 16, and while a draw could be good enough, it looks an unlikely scenario.

Mainz find themselves rooted to the foot of the Bundesliga table, having won only once in 14 outings, but a 2-2 draw away at Bayern on the weekend would have given them a lift.

They have been much happier in the Conference League and they have won their two home games in the competition, edging past Zrinjski 1-0 before an impressive 2-1 victory over Fiorentina, who were runners-up in 2023 and 2024 before making the semi-final last season.

That form reads well in the complex of this tournament and Samsunpor, despite having made a decent fist of things in Europe, they head to the Mewa Arena on a six-game winless run and have suffered three defeats on the spin.

So Mainz are fancied to make home advantage tell and, given the stakes, it could be a cagey contest with goals in short supply.

Mainz’s five Conference League clashes have featured a total of only eight goals and three of those fixtures, including wins over Omonia and Zrinjski Mostar ended 1-0, which could be the likeliest margin of victory.