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Derby vs Birmingham Predictions

Published on 2:37pm GMT 10 September 2026

  • 11:30
  • 12
  • Pride Park
Derby
    Birmingham

      Under 2.5 Match Goals

      Reason for tip

      Under 2.5 goals looks the standout bet when Derby host Birmingham. Three of the last four Championship meetings have produced fewer than three goals, while 14 of Derby’s 23 home matches last season also went under 2.5. With Birmingham drawing five of their last seven league games, another tight encounter looks likely.

      3/4odds when tipped
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      Derby 1-0

      Reason for tip

      Derby’s poor start makes them difficult to trust, but a narrow home victory appeals. No Championship side has played more games this season in which at least one team has failed to score, while Derby won the most recent league meeting with Birmingham 1-0. With neither side in convincing form, a repeat of that scoreline looks a decent option.

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      Derby vs Birmingham Predictions

      Goals could be scarce at Pride Park

      Back under 2.5 goals. This has been a winning bet in three of the last four Championship games between Derby and Birmingham.

      Birmingham are seven places above Derby in the table, but just three points separate the two sides. The hosts sit 22nd with one win and four defeats, while Birmingham, in 15th, have won once, drawn four and lost once.

      This is a difficult spell for Derby, with five defeats in their last seven Championship games. Birmingham are struggling to get wins too, having failed to win six of their last seven, although they have drawn five of those games.

      Fourteen of Derby’s 23 Championship home games last season finished with fewer than three goals.

      A narrow 1-0 victory for Derby looks the most likely outcome in the correct-score market. No Championship team has played more games this season in which at least one team has failed to score than Derby, and they were 1-0 winners against Birmingham last time they met in the league.


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