Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Tips

  • 18:00
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    Borussia Dortmund

      Tip Reasoning

      Hoffenheim were very close to securing a European qualification spot last season, ending just two points behind Borussia Dortmund at the end of the season.

      But they haven’t been able to continue this form into the new season, and they are yet to find a Bundesliga victory this campaign.

      They have lost four of their first five matches in the league, with the only respite from defeat being their goalless draw against Darmstadt at the end of August.

      Mainz, Werder Bremen, Bayern Munich, and Bayer Leverkusen have all defeated them in the Bundesliga this season, and Hoffenheim also suffered an early exit from the DFP Pokal at the hands of 1860 Munich.

      This leaves them in 15th position in the league, with only Hannover, Stuttgart, and Borussia Monchengladbach having worse records than them.

      Borussia Dortmund are at the other end of the scale. They have been the standout performers in the league this season, and five games in still hold a perfect record.

      Their 3-0 win over Bayer Leverkusen on Sunday took their goals tally to 18 goals in the Bundesliga, with Pierre-Emerick Aubemayang, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Shinji Kagawa, and Marco Reus having 13 between them in the league.

      If you add their Europa League exploits into the mix as well, these four attacking players have a combined 28 goals in their nine opening games of the season.

      It’s not looking good for Hoffenheim at the moment, and it gets worse when you realise that they haven’t beaten Dortmund in any of the last five meetings between the sides. Dortmund have won three of these, with the other two ending as draws and three of them seeing four of more goals scored.

      Borussia Dortmund should win this game with ease, and odds of 4/9 for this outcome actually look like pretty good value considering their form. Dortmund to Win and Over 3.5 Goals at 15/8 also look like very good value, but I’m backing a Borussia Dortmund -1 Handicap Win at 6/5.

      These are excellent value odds considering Dortmund have won seven of their nine competitive games, and all of their Bundesliga games, this season by more than one goal. I’m also backing a 4-1 win for them at 18/1.

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