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Inter Milan vs Salernitana Predictions

  • 19:45
  • Expired
  • San Siro
Inter Milan

Salernitana +3

4/6odds when tipped
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Inter Milan 2-0

11/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Inter have gone five games without a win, but have kept back-to-back clean sheets against Genoa and Milan.
  • Salernitana have drawn four consecutive matches, having lost 11 of the previous 13.
  • Inter have failed to score in four straight games, and have not scored multiple goals in a Serie A games since January.

Inter’s poor run continues in disappointing derby

Inter produced a drab display against rivals Milan in their Coppa Italia semi-final first leg in midweek, with the goalless draw extending their winless run to five matches, and their worrying goalless streak to four games. The visit of lowly Salernitana should provide the Nerazzurri with some much-needed respite after they surrendered top spot in Serie A, but they might not have it all their own way at San Siro.

Inter’s run of four matches without a goal has taken in league, cup, and European football, and has seen them take 69 consecutive shots at goal without scoring. Forward Lautaro Martinez looks to have lost all confidence in front of goal, and Inter haven’t exactly provided brilliant service of late, creating less than one expected goal (xG) in four of their last five games.

Meanwhile, Salernitana are on a run of four consecutive draws, but remain well adrift of safety. Their newfound solidity is at least allowing them to salvage some pride; between November and the end of January, Serie A’s bottom club lost by more than a one-goal margin nine times in 11 league games, shipping 31 goals in that run. Since then, they have not lost, and actually won the xG battle in each of their last two.

Inter should seal a win, but Salernitana well worth a handicap punt

In mid-December, Inter battered Salernitana 5-0 on their travels, but they look unlikely to be quite so ruthless this time around, with Davide Nicola yet to lose as Salernitana head coach.

Given the dramatically short prices around the hosts, tipping Salernitana +3 on the handicap market could offer great value at 4/6, with Inter not netting three goals in any of their last eight league games, since that thrashing in the reverse fixture.

However, the Nerazzurri should have the quality to earn a much-needed three points, and a 2-0 home win could be a decent correct score prediction.

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