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AC Milan vs Lecce Predictions

Published on 11:15am GMT 19 September 2026

  • 18:45
  • Tomorrow
  • San Siro Stadium
AC Milan
Lecce
  • TNT Sports 1
  • DAZN

AC Milan -1

Reason for tip

Milan are aiming to bounce back from a tough run of fixtures which didn’t go their way. Lecce have lost to nil in two of their last three Serie A matches, including a 4-0 hammering by Roma. The Rossoneri have covered a -1 handicap in six of the last eight meetings between these two at San Siro.

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AC Milan 2-0

Reason for tip

Milan have kept five clean sheets in a row across their home meetings with Lecce, and they have scored twice in three of their four Serie A matches this term. Lecce shipped 2+ goals in six of 10 trips to the top 10 last season, and they’ve lost five of their last six meetings with Milan to nil, conceding 15 times.

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AC Milan vs Lecce Predictions

  • Milan have cleared a -1 handicap in six of their last eight home meetings with Lecce
  • The visitors have failed to score in their last five away games against Milan
  • Lecce have suffered defeats to nil in two of their last three league matches

Rossoneri need a response

AC Milan fell to a 2-0 defeat against Benfica in the Europa League on Wednesday, and that followed back-to-back draws for the Rossoneri in Serie A. However, Ruben Amorim’s side have a great opportunity to bounce back when they host Lecce on Sunday night.

The visitors have a dire record against Milan, failing to win any of the last 15 head-to-head clashes. They’ve suffered seven defeats in eight visits to Milan, while failing to score in five consecutive trips.

Amorim’s side saw off Torino and Venezia before drawing with Juventus and Lazio, so this seems like a more winnable encounter. Lecce are fresh from a 3-2 victory over Monza, but they scored with each of their shots on target in that victory.

Lecce lost 1-0 at Cagliari in their last away trip, but they faced nine shots on target in that defeat. They were also blown away by Roma, losing 4-0 at home while losing the xG battle 3.27 to 0.8.

With Amorim’s side improving in attacking areas this summer, back them to clear a -1 handicap against Lecce for the seventh time in nine home meetings.

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