AC Milan vs Lecce Predictions

• Lecce have gone seven league games without a win, losing six times and failing to score five times during that run.
• AC Milan have endured a poor run in Serie A, but they have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches across all competitions, going unbeaten in that span.
• Lecce have lost three successive away games to nil, at Inter Milan, Fiorentina and Empoli.

Rossoneri bid to follow up Naples triumph

AC Milan reaffirmed their status as Napoli’s bogey team by ending the Partenopei’s Champions League dream on Tuesday, teeing up a huge semi-final tie against Inter Milan by sealing a 2-1 aggregate victory. The Rossoneri’s domestic form has suffered amid their European exploits, with Stefano Pioli’s side at risk of missing out on a top-four finish after winning one of their last six games in Serie A. Sunday’s fixture against Lecce, however, represents a chance for them to get back on track.

Though Milan have played out frustrating draws against Empoli and Bologna in their last two Serie A matches, the Rossoneri have remained difficult to beat of late, going five games unbeaten in all competitions and keeping three clean sheets – including two against Napoli – during that sequence. The Rossoneri’s 1-1 draw with Bologna last week can be explained by Pioli making wholesale changes, and with the Scudetto holders going unbeaten through their last six at San Siro – only conceding once – they will be confident of a better result when they return to Milan.

If Milan could have hand-picked the ideal opponents to help them play their way back into form, Lecce would have been near the top of their list. The visitors have seen their cushion to the bottom three cut to five points following a seven-game winless run, with Marco Baroni’s men losing six times and failing to score on five occasions during that span. Expected goals statistics continue to identify Lecce as Serie A’s least-creative team, and Baroni needs to find a way of improving their offensive returns before they get dragged further into the relegation mire.

Milan unlikely to be troubled

Despite their underwhelming run on the domestic front, Milan clearly possess the quality to dominate a Lecce side which averages the lowest possession share in Serie A, and with Simon Kjaer and Fikayo Tomori excelling in three meetings with Napoli this month, they should have little trouble in earning another clean sheet.

Milan to win to nil is our main selection for Sunday’s game, while a 2-0 home victory represents a solid correct score pick.

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