Lazio vs Empoli Predictions

• Lazio have scored twice in five of their last six
• Empoli are performing well above their Expected Goals Against numbers
• The hosts have struck seven goals past strong opposition in the last week

Empoli could face first loss

Empoli are flying high after a great start in Serie A, as they’re unbeaten through their first six matches of the season. They’ve conceded just twice in those six matches, but their Expected Goals Against is a lot higher at 7.6.

Empoli’s underlying numbers point to them being fortunate to avoid defeat, as they’ve lost the xG battle in each of their last four league games. Those matches have included games which saw them ship over 2.0 xG in trips to Roma and Cagliari.

That suggests Lazio will get chances and the home side head into this game in fine form. They’ve won four of their last five after a sluggish opening couple of matches, while the Biancocelesti have scored twice or more in five of their last six.

Empoli look on course for a solid season but at some point their defensive numbers will even out. Lazio put four goals past Nice in midweek after a 3-2 victory at Torino, so back them to score a couple against Empoli.