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Lazio vs Roma Predictions

Published on 9:38am GMT 19 September 2025

  • 10:30
  • Expired
  • Stadio Olimpico
Lazio
Roma
  • DAZN

Under 2.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

Each of the last seven Derby della Capitale clashes between Lazio and Roma have featured under 2.5 goals and margins could be slim again when the rivals collide at the Stadio Olimpico.

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Roma 1-0

Reason for tip

Roma have lost only one of their last five meetings with Lazio and they have been defending solidly enough this season to nick another win over their rivals on Sunday. In addition, Roma have already won 1-0 twice in three assignments in Serie A since the start of the campaign.

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Lazio vs Roma Predictions

  • Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 100% of the last seven meetings between Lazio and Roma.
  • Roma have lost only one of the last five editions of the Derby della Capitale.
  • Both of Roma’s two Serie A victories this season have finished 1-0 in their favour.

Expect margins to be slim in the Derby della Capitale

City rivals Lazio and Roma will renew their century-long rivalry in the Derby della Capitale on Sunday, though the fixture’s recent history suggests we should expect little goalmouth action at the Stadio Olimpico.

Roma are still adapting to life under Gian Piero Gasperini, and though their new coach had a reputation for building attack-minded teams at former club Atalanta, defensive solidity has been the hallmark of Roma’s performances under his direction so far.

The Giallorossi started the Serie A campaign with back-to-back 1-0 wins over Bologna and Pisa, before conceding just once in a surprise loss to Torino just after the international break.

Six points from nine represents a solid start for Gasperini however, who currently hold the division’s joint-best defensive record alongside defending champions Napoli.

Lazio meanwhile, have already failed to score twice in three Serie A assignments this term, in disappointing defeats to Como (0-2) and Sassuolo (0-1). Coach Maurizio Sarri has been calling for patience ahead of derby day, though Lazio are already under serious pressure to perform on Sunday.

A nervous-looking Lazio are unlikely to play with much risk against Roma and that could contribute to a game of few chances.

The Rome Derby has been heavy on cards but light on goals in recent seasons, with 100% of the last seven skirmishes between the local antagonists producing under 2.5 goals and a dip into the same market ahead of Sunday’s edition.

Roma are in better shape than their rivals however, following their return of two wins from three in Serie A and for our correct score prediction, Gasperini’s charges are backed to claim the spoils with their third 1-0 victory of the campaign.

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