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Napoli vs Genoa Predictions

Published on 8:40pm GMT 3 October 2025

  • 16:00
  • Expired
  • Stadio San Paolo
Napoli
    Genoa
      • DAZN

      Over 2.5 Match Goals

      Reason for tip

      Eight of the last nine Serie A meetings between Napoli and Genoa have featured over 2.5 goals, and Napoli’s last three league games have also gone over. Genoa’s defensive frailty, with nine games without a clean sheet in their last ten, strengthens the case for another high-scoring clash.

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      Napoli 2-1

      Reason for tip

      Napoli have won seven of their last eight Serie A home games and often strike first, scoring the opener in six straight matches. Genoa have been edged by a single goal in two of their last three league defeats, making a 2-1 home victory the standout correct-score option.

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      Napoli vs Genoa Predictions

      Expect goals in Naples

      Napoli welcome Genoa to the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium on Sunday and, based on recent meetings between these sides, over 2.5 goals looks the best bet. Eight of the last nine Serie A meetings between these sides have gone over 2.5 goals.

      Napoli are second in Serie A, 17 places and ten points above Genoa, with four wins and one defeat from their five games this season. The visitors are yet to win, having drawn twice and lost twice.

      Napoli have won three Serie A home games in a row and are unbeaten in nine of their last ten meetings with these opponents. Genoa have won just one of their last ten matches and have gone four games without winning.

      Napoli lost 2-1 to Milan last weekend, keeping up their run of games with over 2.5 goals. Kevin De Bruyne scored for Napoli and they had their chances, but failed to make the most of them. Napoli have scored the opening goal in their last six games and have lost just one of the five this season in which they’ve gone ahead (20%). They were priced as 2/1 outsiders to win the game and suffered a narrow defeat.

      Over 2.5 goals is a feature of Napoli’s last few games, with the last three Serie A matches all finishing with three goals or more.
      The visitors have been struggling to keep out their opponents lately. Genoa have failed to keep a clean sheet in nine of their last ten Serie A games, with their last shutout coming against Lecce in August. They have not kept a clean sheet in 17 of their last 20 games against Napoli.

      Napoli have been winners in seven of their last eight Serie A home games and may be able to edge out Genoa in a close game, with a 2-1 home win the correct-score pick. The visitors have been beaten by a single goal in two of their last three league matches.


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      Edited by Mark Langdon

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