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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Published on 4:19pm GMT 30 January 2026

  • 13:00
  • Expired
  • Bernabeu
Real Madrid
    Rayo Vallecano
      • Premier Sports 2
      • La Liga TV

      Over 3.5 Match Goals

      Reason for tip

      Real Madrid games at the Bernabeu often deliver entertainment, and this matchup sets up well for goals. Carlo Ancelotti’s side have scored in eight of their last nine league games and have won their last three La Liga home matches. Rayo Vallecano arrive out of form, with just one win in ten league games and four defeats in their last five away. Four of Rayo’s 11 away matches have produced four or more goals, which strengthens the case for over 3.5.

      5/4odds when tipped
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      Real Madrid 3-1

      Reason for tip

      A comfortable home win looks likely, but Rayo may still get on the scoresheet. Real Madrid have won three of their last four league games by a two-goal margin and continue to create chances at a high rate, especially against bottom-half opposition. Rayo have been beaten by at least two goals in each of their last two La Liga defeats and look vulnerable defensively on the road. With Madrid’s attacking depth and Rayo’s recent struggles, a 3-1 home victory feels like a solid correct-score play.

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      Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions

      Goals expected as Real Madrid host Rayo Vallecano

      Goals are on the cards when Real Madrid host Rayo Vallecano at the Bernabeu on Sunday. Back over 3.5 goals – Real Madrid have scored in eight of their last nine league games and there should be plenty of goals here.

      Real Madrid are second in the league, 15 places above Rayo Vallecano, with 29 points separating the two teams. Real have won 16 of their 21 games this season, while Rayo have won five.

      Real Madrid have won their last three home games in the league, while Rayo Vallecano have recorded only one victory in their last ten games and have lost four of their last five away.

      Four of Rayo Vallecano’s 11 away league matches this season have ended with four goals or more.

      A 3-1 win for Real Madrid is an appealing correct-score option. Over 3.5 goals has been a winning bet in six of their 21 Primera Liga games this season, and they have won three of their last four league games by a two-goal margin. Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, have slumped to defeat by at least two goals in their last two league games.


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      Edited by Mark Langdon

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