Southampton vs Leeds Predictions

  • 14:00
  • Expired
  • St. Marys Stadium
Southampton
Leeds

Under 2.5 Match Goals

6/5odds when tipped
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Leeds 1-0

12/1odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Leeds won both meetings with Southampton last season
  • Southampton have failed to score in three of their last four
  • Under 2.5 goals has landed in each of the Saints’ home league games this term

Leeds out to build on first win

Leeds made a difficult start to the season, but it was hard not to see things turning around for them. They did secure three points in a victory over Watford before the international break and now Marcelo Bielsa’s side need to get moving in the right direction.

The visitors will look to build on last season’s return of six points from two meetings with Southampton, while the Saints are trying to get out of first gear on their own patch.

Issues for the Saints

Southampton frustrated for spells against Chelsea last time out but the sending off of James Ward-Prowse turned the game and saw the Blues run out 3-1 winners. Without the free-kick specialist the Saints are missing a vital weapon from their arsenal and the likely absence of forward Che Adams doesn’t help either.

The Saints have scored only once across their last four Premier League games and they’ve failed to find the net in the last two at St Mary’s. Just three goals have been scored across those three games, so low-scoring matches have become the norm for the hosts.

Back Leeds in cagey clash

Leeds have more Premier League wins against Southampton (14) than any other side they’ve faced at this level. I’d make the visitors the favourites to take this one too, with the Saints still winless this term.

However, Leeds are averaging just one goal-per-game in the Premier League this season so they’ll likely only edge this one. With all of the Saints’ home games seeing under 2.5 goals this low-scoring Leeds side should help make this a quiet affair. Back under 2.5 goals in this one at good value, with 1-0 to Leeds my correct score selection.

Southampton possible starting line-up: McCarthy; Livramento, Bednarek, Salisu, Walker-Peters; Walcott, Romeu, Diallo, Elyounoussi, Redmond, Armstrong

Leeds possible starting line-up: Meslier; Shackleton, Llorente, Cooper, Firpo; Phillips; James, Dallas, Klich, Harrison; Bamford

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