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Spain vs Bulgaria Predictions

Published on 5:44pm GMT 12 October 2025

  • 18:45
  • Expired
  • Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Spain
Bulgaria

Spain -4

Reason for tip

Bulgaria’s awful run continued with a 6-1 home loss to Turkey at the weekend, which followed 3-0 defeats in their opening two group games. The visitors have lost 4-0 in Greece and 5-0 in Northern Ireland in the last year, so back this impressive Spain side to cruise to victory.

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Spain 7-0

Reason for tip

Spain have won their opening three group games to nil, conceding just 0.6 xG in total. They’re restricting chances incredibly well, while Bulgaria’s only strike in this campaign came thanks to a comical slip and deflection combo last time out.

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Mikel Merino To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Merino scored four times during September’s international break, which included a strike against Bulgaria. The Arsenal man scored against Newcastle at the end of last month, while he had five shots in Saturday’s win over Georgia.

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Spain vs Bulgaria Predictions

  • Bulgaria have lost 5-0 at Northern Ireland and 4-0 at Greece in the last year
  • The visitors were thumped 6-1 at home by Turkey in their last game
  • Spain created six big chances in the reverse clash

Bulgaria look out of their depth

Bulgaria have lost all three games in this qualifying group, starting with 3-0 defeats to Spain and Georgia last month. That was followed by a 6-1 hammering by Turkey on Saturday, which doesn’t bode well for Tuesday’s trip to Valladolid.

Bulgaria have lost 5-0 in Northern Ireland and 4-0 at Greece across the last 12 months. They looked hapless at points against Turkey at the weekend, the six goals they conceded was a fair reflection of their defensive issues.

Spain have been in complete control of this group, scoring 11 times and keeping three clean sheets across their first three games. The European champions were able to generate 3.51 xG and six big chances in their first meeting with Bulgaria, so this clash could get ugly.

Spain ended last month’s break with a 6-0 win in Turkey, while their 2-0 win over Georgia on Saturday saw them create an xG of 3.93. They put five goals past France earlier this year, while the previous qualifying included a 7-1 win in Georgia and a 6-0 victory at home to Cyprus.

Spain’s incredible talent should make short work of a Bulgarian side who are enduring a terrible run of results.

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