SPAL vs Genoa Predictions

Two of Serie A’s bottom four clash this weekend, with Genoa making the trip to SPAL. The pair are only one point apart in the table, so there’s huge pressure on both sides to pull away from the bottom three. But will the strugglers pick up a vital win in the fight to avoid the drop? Can SPAL shake off their terrible start, or will Genoa finally turn up on the road?

These two are no strangers to the relegation battle. Late bursts of form have guided SPAL away from the bottom three in their last two campaigns. Meanwhile, Genoa stayed up on the final day of last season, having shown relegation form in each of the last four campaigns. There are huge problems for the club to fix, but they continually get dragged into a fight for survival.

The hosts may have slumped into Serie A’s relegation zone, but they’ll be looking to build on the four points they’ve claimed across their last three at this ground. They have managed to score in all but one of their home clashes this term, while they’ve scored in 14 of their last 15 at home. That scoring form could be crucial in their relegation battle moving forward, while this is the perfect chance for them to boost that tally.

They should add to that against this Genoa defence, which is the worst in the league. They have conceded the majority of those goals on the road, with a huge 65% of their goals against so far coming in away trips. On the bright side for the visitors, they’ve made up for that going forward by scoring in 75% of their Serie A games overall. They’ve not been afraid to get forward and carve out chances on the road.

It’s a game which is likely to be full of chances, as these two have conceded over 30 shots per game this season combined. That should help an adventurous Genoa side. Meanwhile, SPAL’s scoring streak suggests we can rely on them for a goal here. As a result, we are backing both teams to score when these two meet on Monday.

These two sides have drawn their last three meetings 1-1, while both are struggling for wins. Each side have failed to win 83% of their matches this season, while Genoa have claimed one victory on the road since October 2018, a run covering their last 21 away league games. With both of these sides struggling and given the pressure of the relegation battle, we’re backing them to share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.