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Ukraine vs Hungary Predictions

Published on 5:18pm GMT 3 October 2026

  • 18:45
  • 5
  • City Arena
Ukraine
Hungary

Hungary to Win

Reason for tip

Hungary have lost only one of seven matches in 2026, and that was a home loss to Ukraine in which they created the better chances. The Hungarians have the best underlying record in the group, while Ukraine have the worst.

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Hungary 2-0

Reason for tip

Hungary scored twice in five of their six World Cup qualifiers last year, and the 4.6 xG they’ve generated across their three Nations League matches is the highest in this group. Ukraine’s last two ‘home’ competitive games have seen them concede three goals apiece to Northern Ireland and Sweden.

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Ukraine vs Hungary Predictions

  • Hungary have lost only once in seven matches this year
  • Ukraine were beaten 3-0 by Northern Ireland on Friday, creating 0.38 xG
  • Hungary have recorded 4.6 xG in their last three games, the highest tally in this group

Hungary hope for strong finish

After dropping points in their first two matches of this international break, Hungary are aiming to finish with two wins as they target top spot in their Nations League group.

Hungary were the stronger side in a 1-0 home defeat to Ukraine, while they drew 0-0 away to group leaders Northern Ireland in their second match. A 1-0 home win over Georgia got them back on course, and the Hungarians are worth siding with ahead of this trip to Trnava.

That loss to Ukraine was Hungary’s only defeat in seven matches this year, and they have the best record in this group in terms of Expected Goals. On the other hand, Ukraine sit bottom of the standings in terms of Expected Points, after mustering only 0.38 xG from 72% possession in their 3-0 home defeat to NI.

Hungary scored at least twice in five of their six World Cup qualifiers last year, winning 1-0 in Armenia in the other. They’ve generated 4.6 xG across their first three Nations League games, and they should be able to secure maximum points on Monday night.

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