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Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto Predictions

Published on 4:42pm GMT 16 January 2026

  • 20:30
  • Expired
  • Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Vitoria Guimaraes
    FC Porto

      Over 2.5 Match Goals

      Reason for tip

      Porto have scored in 19 of their last 20 league games and rarely shut matches down, even when in control. They arrive as runaway leaders of the Primeira Liga and have won 19 of their last 20 league matches overall. Guimarães are usually competitive at home but struggle defensively in this fixture, failing to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last ten home league games and in 18 of their last 19 meetings with Porto. With recent head to heads regularly producing goals, over 2.5 looks the sensible angle.

      21/20odds when tipped
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      FC Porto 2-1

      Reason for tip

      A 2-1 away win fits Porto’s recent profile well. Three of their league victories this season have finished by that scoreline, including their recent win over Sporting, and they continue to concede occasionally despite dominating matches. Guimarães are capable of contributing at home, having scored in their last outing, but their defensive record against Porto is a major concern. With five of the last six league meetings between these sides clearing over 2.5 goals, Porto edging a competitive game by a single goal looks the most likely outcome.

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      Vitoria Guimaraes vs FC Porto Predictions

      Porto goals to flow again at Guimarães

      Porto have scored in 19 of their last 20 league games and over 2.5 goals looks the best bet when they visit Guimaraes on Sunday.

      Porto are Primeira Liga leaders with 16 wins from their 17 games this season, while Guimaraes are seventh having won seven, drawn four and lost six. Last season, Porto finished with 71 points and Guimaraes achieved 54.

      Porto have won 19 of their last 20 Primeira Liga matches, including a recent 2-1 victory over Sporting, and they were 1-0 winners over Santa Clara in their last away game two weeks ago. Guimaraes beat Nacional 2-1 in their last home game two weeks ago.

      The hosts’ defence has been far from solid, with Guimaraes failing to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last ten home league games, and in 18 of their last 19 matches against Porto.

      Over 2.5 goals has been a winning bet in five of the last six Primeira Liga clashes between Guimaraes and Porto.

      With the Primeira Liga averaging 2.7 goals a game this season and Porto having three 2-1 wins in the league to their name so far, a 2-1 away win looks like a decent correct-score bet.


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      Edited by Mark Langdon

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