West Bromwich Albion vs Leeds Predictions

• Leeds have notched one or fewer goals in 10 of their last 13 Premier League matches.
• WBA have scored exactly once in five of their last six top-flight tussles.
• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in nine of West Brom’s last 12 league games.
• West Brom rank last for average attempts mustered per game this season (8.5).

WBA nab point on Merseyside

Sam Allardyce is only just in the door at WBA, though the Baggies looked every inch a team forged in their new manager’s image on Sunday when they stole a point against champions Liverpool at Anfield.

The Baggies sat deep and defended with 11 players on Merseyside, though a late Semi Ajayi header worked from a set piece earned Albion an unexpected share of the spoils against the frustrated Reds.

Allardyce is almost certain to use the same formula against a dangerous Leeds team at the Hawthorns on Tuesday, where the ex-England manager will hope his game-stifling tactics can produce another positive result.

Leeds back to winning ways

Leeds meanwhile, recovered well from their 6-2 hammering at Old Trafford by beating Burnley 1-0 at Elland Road on Sunday, though Marcelo Bielsa’s side needed a slice of luck to collect the points.

The Yorkshiremen raced into an early lead through a Patrick Bamford spot-kick, though the Clarets were later denied what looked a perfectly good equalizer when the referee blew for a foul on Leeds’ keeper Ilan Meslier.

Baggies’ tactics to impact the action

Big Sam’s rigid and hugely defensive tactical strategy allowed WBA to keep Liverpool at arm’s length at Anfield on Sunday, and despite enjoying nearly 80% of the ball, the Reds found penetrating the Baggies rearguard an extremely tough task.

In total, the hosts mustered just two shots on target against West Brom – their lowest figure in any Premier League home game since the 2020/21 campaign began.

We expect that same dogged set-up to strangle the life out of WBA’s meeting with Leeds on Tuesday, and that in turn makes the under 2.5 goals market a hugely attractive proposition at the prices quoted.

Leeds’ Premier League fixtures have generally been a thrill a minute this term, though most of the goals in their games of late have come at the wrong end for the Yorkshiremen.

United have in fact, scored one or fewer goals in 10 of their last 13 top-flight assignments, and Bielsa’s side should find it tough to pass their way through the massed ranks of Baggies defenders this week.

Alongside our under 2.5 goals forecast, our 1-1 correct score prediction backs West Brom to earn another useful point against a tough opponent.

With Leeds’ aforementioned goal-getting problems already established, we cannot see United notching more than once against Allardyce’s defensive Baggies outfit, while WBA’s record of scoring exactly one goal in five of their last six Premier League fixtures suggests a single effort is about the upper limit of their own attacking capabilities.

Emboldened by their surprise point at Anfield, we’re backing West Brom’s Big Sam led resurgence to continue on Tuesday.

West Bromwich Albion injuries and team news

Jake Livermore once again misses out due to his suspension, while Conor Townsend is also out injured.

Kyle Bartley and Hal Robson-Kanu are closing in on a return to the squad, though neither player is certain to be available for Tuesday.

Leeds United injuries and team news

Marcelo Bielsa will be without Robin Koch, Gaetano Berardi, Adam Forshaw and Diego Llorente for their trip to The Hawthorns, while Liam Cooper will be assessed.

The Argentine boss deployed his team in a 3-3-3-1 formation in Sunday’s 1-0 victory over Burnley, and Bielsa might stick with the same structure against WBA.