Hammarby vs Ostersunds FK Predictions

When they lost heavily against Malmo a few weeks ago, Hammarby appeared to be heading in the wrong direction, though they’ve since got their act together, winning three out of three. After beating Sirius in comfortable fashion last time out, the hosts will approach this match feeling confident.

Since their defeat against the likely champions, Hammarby have performed well; they’ve offered a considerable amount going forward, while they’ve also done an excellent job of creating more than they’ve conceded. In their last three matches, Hammarby have posted expected goals for figures of 1.52, 3.03 and 2.17, while they’ve conceded numbers of 0.45, 1.61 and 1.06. Such stats tell us that Tuesday’s hosts are making a habit of offering lots more than their opponents in terms of creating scoring opportunities. The fact that they’ve notched seven goals and have conceded just three during that time also suggests that they’ve offered more than their opposition in terms of end-product too.

As for the visitors, well, Ostersunds once again underwhelmed on Saturday afternoon, as they failed to get the better of Hacken on home soil. They didn’t lose, which means that Ian Burchnall’s men are now unbeaten in five, but for the second game in a row, Tuesday’s visitors struggled to get going offensively. If they’re to get the better of a decent Hammary side, then they’ll need to improve, especially in the final third.

A lack of both creativity and end-product is becoming a big problem for Ostersunds on the road. Away from home, Tuesday’s visitors have scored just two goals in four games, while they average a measly 0.58 expected goals for. Such numbers just won’t do, especially when they’re averaging 1.72 expected goals against.

In contrast, Hammarby have posted some very encouraging figures at home. They’ve scored an average of two goals per game at Tele2 Arena this season, while they also average a pleasing 1.93 expected goals against. Furthermore, Tuesday’s hosts have surrendered an average of just 0.75 goals and 0.97 expected goals on their own patch.

From a betting point of view, ‘Hammarby to Win & Over 1.5 Goals’ catches the eye. Hammarby’s performances at home have been far better than Ostersunds’ on the road, so much so that the hosts, who’ve scored at least twice in three of their four home games, look a good bet to score at least twice on route to emerging victorious.