Liechtenstein vs Greece Predictions

Liechtenstein, as always, come into the new European Championship qualifying campaign as firm underdogs in their group. Group J contains the likes of Italy, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Greece, Finland, and Armenia. It’s not the strongest of groups around, but Liechtenstein are certainly bottom of this particular pile.

That being said, they did manage to get a 2-2 draw at home to Armenia in their last match of the UEFA Nations League, ending a run of three consecutive defeats. This is a fairly rare occurrence though – The hosts have lost 19 of their last 23 matches, only managing victories over Qatar and Gibraltar in this period.

It’s no surprise when you look through their squad either. The majority of their players ply their trade in their native country, and their most successful player, captain Michele Polverino, has just six goals to his name. Liechtenstein’s strikers have six goals between them, although 17 year old Noah Frick is uncapped and will be hoping to get some game time on Saturday.

Greece hardly have the best squad in the world, but they do have some genuine top level talent at their disposal. Arsenal defender Sokratis captains the side while Galatasaray’s Kostas Mitroglou is the main striker. The rest of the squad is comparatively inexperienced at international level, but the quality is far greater than the hosts’.

Italy are the clear favourites in Group J, but Greece will feel that they do have a genuine chance at clinching second place. Bosnia-Herzegovina will be their main rivals in this respect, so getting off to a winning start in Liechtenstein is massively important for them.

Admittedly, the Greeks aren’t the most free flowing side around.  In fact, they haven’t scored more than a single goal in a match since their 4-1 thrashing of Gibraltar back in 2017. This defensive nature has resulted in a lot of low scoring games, with nine of their last 10 outings seeing fewer than three goals in total.

Seven of their last 10 away matches have been low scoring affairs too, while Liechtenstein’s marginally improved defensive record at home means that four of their last five on home soil have seen fewer than three goals. This makes Greece to Win and Under 2.5 Goals look a great bet here, so we’re backing that along with a 2-0 correct score prediction.