AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United Predictions
Published on 10:36am GMT 19 March 2026
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AFC Bournemouth Double Chance (Win or Draw)
Reasoning
Matheus Cunha to score
Matheus Cunha found the net against Aston Villa last time out and scored in the reverse fixture in December. He has the ability to strike again, and punters can take advantage of Paddy Power’s Super Sub offer.
Benjamin Sesko has been brought on for Cunha in three of Manchester United’s last seven games, with the Slovenian finding the net off the bench in two of those fixtures.
Bruno Fernandes to assist
A dark cloud has been hanging over Old Trafford for a long time, but Bruno Fernandes has often been there to provide a much-needed silver lining, and the Portuguese playmaker has kicked on to new creative heights over the past few months.
His two assists against Aston Villa last time out took his tally to 17 for the season. 12 of these have come in his last 14 appearances, including one in the reverse fixture back in December.
Benjamin Sesko 1+ shot on target
Benjamin Sesko may not have nailed down a regular starting spot for Manchester United, but the 22-year-old is proving a menace whenever he does get on the pitch, scoring eight goals in his last ten appearances, despite only starting in four of those games.
He has registered 19 shots on target in this sequence and has tested the opposition goalkeeper at least once in eight of them.
Marcus Tavernier 2+ shots
Only Evanilson has had more shots on goal for Bournemouth this season than Marcus Tavernier, with the 26-year-old’s tally boosted by a massive 15 shots in his last four starts for the club.
He has registered at least two shots in each of these starts and had four attempts on goal in the reverse fixture, contributing a goal and an assist in that eight-goal thriller.
Luke Shaw to commit 1+ fouls
Luke Shaw has returned to left-back since Patrick Dorgu’s injury for Manchester United, and the 30-year-old defender has never been afraid to get stuck in.
He committed two fouls against Aston Villa last time out and has been reprimanded at least once in 20 of his last 21 appearances for the Red Devils.
Alex Scott to be fouled 2+ times
Alex Scott leads the Bournemouth charts for both fouls and fouls drawn this season and he was fouled four times against Burnley last time out.
The young midfielder has drawn two or more fouls in seven of his last nine appearances for the Cherries, being fouled a total of 20 times in this sequence.
AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United Predictions
- Manchester United are winless in five Premier League meetings with Bournemouth..
- Bournemouth have conceded just one goal across their last four games (all draws)
- United have won just two of their last seven away games.
United head to bogey team Bournemouth
Michael Carrick has got Manchester United firing on all cylinders and on course for a place in next season’s Champions League, but his side may not have it all their own way when they travel to Bournemouth for a Friday night Premier League fixture.
The Cherries’ own European hopes now appear slim with an eight point gap between themselves and the top five, but they have proven to be a bit of a bogey team for the visitors in recent seasons.
Bournemouth have two wins and no defeats in the last five league meetings between these sides and they tend to raise their levels against the division’s best, while they have only lost two of their 15 league games so far.
Cherries can take at least a point
United have won seven of their last nine league games and come into Friday’s fixture as the deserved favourites.
However, Bournemouth are unbeaten in 11 games in normal time across all competitions and have been solid at the back with three clean sheets in their last four games. The hosts may not be able to grind out a win but they can at least avoid the defeat and backing Bournemouth in the double chance market stands out for our main bet.
Bournemouth’s unbeaten streak and their record in head-to-head matches makes this bet a good angle, and it is also worth noting that United’s road form has been less impressive with just two wins in their last seven trips and only five in 15 Premier League away days all season.
Spoils could be shared at Dean Court
Bournemouth are the Premier League’s stalemate specialists with 14 of their 30 games ending honours even. United have six draws and just four defeats in their 15 trips, so this one may well finish all square.
The Cherries defence has been impressive in recent weeks with only one goal conceded in their last four games but keeping United at bay may be too big an ask. United have scored in 19 consecutive games and they last drew a blank in a home defeat to Everton back in November, before Carrick took charge.
Both teams have scored in six of Bournemouth’s last seven home games and in 12 of United last 13 away. Bournemouth have been strong at the back lately and a repeat of the 4-4 draw in the reverse fixture looks unlikely but we should see both teams strike and a 1-1 draw seems like a reasonable correct score prediction.
Matheus Cunha scored in United’s win over Aston Villa last time out and can follow that up with an anytime effort on the south coast. Cunha has a modest seven strikes in 27 league games this season but has scored in back-to-back games on two previous occasions this season, and he was on target in the reverse fixture in December.
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