Ajax vs RKC Predictions

13:30
  • Expired
  • Sun 16 Feb
Ajax
    RKC

      Ajax to Win and Under 4.5 Match Goals

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      Ajax 4-0

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      Tip Reasoning

      • Ajax have won 6 of their last 7 matches against RKC.
      • Under 4.5 goals have been scored in 6 of the pairs’ last 7 meetings.
      • Ajax have won 5 of their last 6 matches and only once has over 4.5 goals being scored.
      • RKC have lost 4 of their last 6 matches and each of those games featured under 4.5 goals.

      Ajax have a great clean sheets record at home

      Ajax secured safe passage through to the Semi-Finals of the KNVB Beker courtesy of 3-0 win away at Vitesse, while RKC’s last match saw them draw 0-0 at home with fellow strugglers Zwolle. A massive 38pts separates these two clubs heading into Sunday’s clash and it’s hard to dream up any scenario in which RKC pick up a single point, let alone all three.

      Ajax beat RKC 2-1 when the pair met for their reverse league fixture in October and head into Sunday’s clash as the clear form favourites with five wins from their last six outings. The visitors are without a win in 2020and have failed to score in four of those five matches (including the friendly against Servette). Ajax have kept clean sheets in three of their last four matches and only one of their last six games have produced over 4.5 goals (the 7-0 win over Spakenburg in the KNVB Beker).

      The hosts have won ten of their eleven home games in the Eredivisie this season while the visitors have lost nine of their eleven away games. ajax score an average of 3.36 goals per home game and only concede 0.55 goals while RKC score an average of just 1.09 goals per away game and concede 3.00 goals, so you can begin to see why we have backed Ajax to win with under 4.5 goals being scored.

      RKC have been dire on the road with just 4pts from a possible 33pts

      Ajax’s home games produced an average of 3.91 total goals and RKC’s away games produce an average of 4.09 goals, which is why we have predicted a 4-0 win for Ajax this weekend. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 73% of Ajax’s home games but both teams have scored in just 36% while 82% of RKC’s away games have seen at least 3-goals scored.

      Over 3.5 goals have been scored in 64% of Ajax’s home games and RKC’s away games, but over 4.5 goals have only been produced in 36% of the visitors’ away games and 45% of the hosts’ home matches. RKC have failed to score in 36% of their away games this season while Ajax have kept clean sheets in 55% of their home games, adding further weight to our prediction for a 4-0 home win this weekend.

      A majority of RKC’s defeats this season (10) have had a margin of 2 goals or more, while a majority of Ajax’s wins (13) have been obtained with a margin of 2 goals or more which ties in with our prediction for a comfortable home victory on Sunday. We’re confident that Ajax will win and that under 4.5 goals will be scored in the process and we have predicted a final scoreline of 4-0. Ajax are huge favourites to win before you even considered the form guide and the fact they are playing at home, but with the hosts playing in midweek and RKC’s poor goals return on the road we believe that under 4.5 goals will be produced between the pair this weekend.

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