Almeria vs Real Oviedo Predictions

• No team has scored more home goals than Almeria in Spain’s second division this season.
• Almeria have scored two or more goals in six of their ten home matches this season.
• No Segunda team has conceded more away goals than Real Oviedo during the current campaign.

Hosts flying high

It’s been a while since Almeria graced Spain’s top division with their presence, five seasons to be exact, though they may just be on their way back to the promised land. The 19/20 campaign has so far been a fruitful one for the Andalusian side; they’re 2nd in the table and come into this game off the back of a thumping 0-4 win away at Lugo.

Defensively, Almeria’s strength can be questioned, but there is no debate over which side is the best attacking unit in the division. Scorers of 39 goals in 22 matches, Almeria are easily Segunda’s highest scorers, while they’re also the top scorers at home, where they’ve notched a pleasing 19 times in ten matches.

Almeria have been scoring for fun at home of late, notching 11 goals in their last five, scoring two or more in four of those five. Such form bodes well ahead of a match against an Oviedo side that has conceded lots of goals on the road.

Oviedo too close for comfort

While Almeria are enjoying a pleasing campaign, Oviedo, who’ve challenged for a top-six place in recent seasons, are enduring a disappointing season. Thursday’s visitors find themselves down in 17^th position, just a single point above the dreaded drop-zone.

Offensively, there hasn’t been much wrong with the efforts of Oviedo this term, but they’ve let themselves down big time at the back. Only one team in the division has conceded more goals than Oviedo, who’ve conceded 33, while no other Segunda side has conceded more away goals.  Javi Rozada’s men have conceded 20 times on their travels, shipping two or more in seven out of 11. They’ve conceded two or more in each of their three away games against top-six teams.

More of the same for Almeria

Given the defensive credentials of Thursday’s opposition, this game is nothing other than a big opportunity for Almeria to continue scoring at a pleasing rate. Punters can profit by siding with ‘Almeria to Score Over 1.5 Goals’. Not only have Oviedo, who have the worst away defensive record in the division, conceded two or more in seven out of 11 on the road, shipping multiple goals in each of their three away games against teams currently in the top six, but Almeria have scored multiple goals on a regular basis at home, notching two or more in four of their last five at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos. Ultimately, when the best attack in the division faces one of the worst defences on Thursday evening, home goals are fancied.

In the ‘Correct Score’ market, a 3-1 win for Almeria appeals. Oviedo have conceded three goals in two of their last four on the road and have shipped three in each of their last two away games against top-six opposition. They’ve also scored exactly once in each of their three away matches against teams of that ilk.