America Mineiro vs Sao Paulo Predictions & Betting Tips, Match Previews

America Mineiro are on the brink of having their relegation to Serie B confirmed so they have nothing but pride to play for really, although they have a private battle going on with fellow strugglers Santa Cruz to avoid the wooden spoon. Their 1-0 home win over Atletico PR last time out saw them move off the bottom for the first time since week 9 but we shouldn’t read too much into it for several reasons.

Firstly Atletico PR have been hopeless away from home, losing the vast majority of their away games and America had lost 4 games in a row prior to that. They’ve averaged just 0.75 points per game this season and have netted just 0.63 goals per game at home which is a miserable stat and one that suggests 1 goal might be enough for the visitors to win this.

They are up against a Sao Paulo side that have won their last two games and should finally be able to play with a bit of confidence. Their safety is all but guaranteed now after a difficult year and they should be able to play with a bit more freedom as a result. They are strong at the back and have conceded less than 1 goal per game on average in the league this term which suggests America are going to find it very tough to break them down, given how toothless they are in the final third.

Sao Paulo’s away record is one of the top 10 in the league, so they sometimes seem to enjoy playing away from their home crowd which has not been impressed with what they’ve seen from their team this term. America Mineiro are going through the motions a little bit now, merely waiting to have their inevitable relegation confirmed. They’ve lost 63% of their matches this term and with Sao Paulo in decent form and desperate to salvage some respectability from their campaign, the visitors look the more likely winners here.

Therefore, backing Sao Paulo to Win at 11/10 looks like the best approach.