Arouca vs FC Porto Predictions
- 20:15
- Expired
- Estádio Municipal de Arouca
- Viaplay Xtra
Arouca +2
Reasoning
Arouca vs FC Porto Predictions
- Arouca have lost by two or more in only three of their last 26 games
- The hosts have won to nil in four of their last five at home
- Porto have won by two clear goals in one of their last seven league games
- The visitors have won by two goals against just one top-half side on the road this season
Arouca pushing for Europe
Arouca are flying high in Portugal, sitting in fifth-place and on course for a place in Europe next season. The hosts have a five-point lead over sixth and they will be hoping their great recent form can carry them towards the Europa Conference League.
The hosts will be wary of the fact that they’ve lost all five clashes with the top three this season, but they’ve come a long way since a 6-0 home loss to Braga back in August.
In the 26 games since, Arouca have covered a +2 handicap in 23 of those. The hosts also head into this clash with one loss in their last nine in the league, while they’ve won four of their last five at home to nil. With Porto looking less than convincing, back the hosts to keep this tight.
Title pressure on Porto
Benfica have been top of the table all season, with Porto trailing by seven points heading into the final stretch of games. Their hopes of overtaking their great rivals look slim, while they’ve been grinding out wins in recent weeks.
The visitors needed extra-time to see off Famalicao in the cup in midweek, while they have won by a margin of two or more just once across their last seven league games. Arouca should be confident of keeping things tight. While Porto have won by two or more on six occasions away from home, five of those came against bottom-half sides.
The visitors have still won seven of their last eight league games and they can pick up another narrow success this week. Mehdi Taremi has scored in their last two trips and in three straight games for Porto, so back him to find the net.
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