AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Predictions

• Fifteen of AZ Alkmaar’s 16 league victories this season also produced over 2.5 total goals.
• Four of Twente’s five Eredivisie defeats this season also produced over 2.5 goals.
• AZ are enjoying the longest currently active run of Eredivisie victories (W6).
• AZ scored at least two goals in 12 of the last 14 competitive H2H meetings.

AZ can cut Twente adrift with a win

Just three points separate AZ and Twente in fourth and fifth ahead of this Eredivisie round, but with just one point keeping AZ out of the top-three, they know that they can keep the pressure on while all but ending Twente’s interest in the Conference League qualification place with victory.

Only games involving PSV (20) saw more league games produce at least three goals than AZ’s 18 (72%) and with that including all but one of their 16 league wins this season, we could be in for another cracker.

Helping AZ out in the scoring front has been Greek hitman Vangelis Pavlidis, he has now scored ten times in the league since making the switch from Willem and he loves playing against this opposition, with three goals from his six career appearances vs Twente.

A big ask for Twente

Visiting manager Ron Jans will know that this game is essentially win or bust if they want to avoid having to go through the play-offs to make it into Europe, but winning here is no mean feat.

Jans himself has a paltry win rate of 22% across his managerial H2Hs with them (W7, D8, L17), he has also lost three of his four touchline meetings with opposing manager Pasal Jansen (W1, L3), each of which saw both teams score and at least three match goals.

We predict that AZ will just about have the edge in this clash as their quest for Europe continues, but we are squeezing value from the selection by backing them in the win and over 2.5 goals market. As for the correct score, we stick with a highly entertaining 3-1 home win.

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