AZ Reserves vs Almere City FC Predictions

19:00
  • Expired
  • Mon 27 Jan
AZ Reserves
Almere City FC

AZ Reserves Double Chance (Win or Draw)

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£17.20
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AZ Reserves 2-1

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£120.00
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Tip Reasoning

  • AZ Jong have only lost three of their 10 home games this season.
  • Almere City have only won one of their 11 away games this season.
  • AZ Jong score an average of two goals per home game and concede one goal.
  • Almere City score an average of one goal per away game and concede two goals.

AZ Jong performing well at home this season

AZ Jong were beaten 3-1 away at former Eredivisie side Breda last weekend, while Almere City suffered a 2-0 defeat at home against recently relegated De Graafschap. Nine points separate the two clubs heading into Monday night’s clash, as Almere City sit four places above their hosts in the Eerste Divisie table. But their away record has been poor so far and AZ Jong will be looking to exploit that to close the gap between the two clubs.

The hosts have only lost three times at home this season and Almere City have lost six and drawn four of their 11 away games. That’s why we’ve backed AZ Jong with a double chance bet. AZ Jong average 1.70 points per home game, which is above the league average of 1.68 points, and have a win ratio of 50%. Almere City only average 0.64 points per away game and have a win ratio of just 9% on the road.

AZ Jong score an average of 2.00 goals per home game and concede an average of 1.60 goals while Almere City score an average of 1.27 goals per away game and concede an average of 2.00 goals. So, for our correct score prediction, you can see why we have backed the hosts to claim a 2-1 win on Monday night.

Almere City have only secured one win on the road so far

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 80% of AZ Jong’s home games and both teams have scored in 90% of their matches, while 55% of Almere City’s away games have produced over 2.5 goals and 82% of their games have seen both teams score. The hosts have a +4 goal difference at home and the visitors have a -8 goal difference on the road. But AZ Jong haven’t kept a clean sheet in their own backyard this season and Almere City have only failed to score in 18% of their away games.

In total, 30% of AZ Jong’s home games have produced exactly three goals this season and a majority of their wins this season (4) have been obtained with a one-goal margin; three of Almere City’s defeats have been via a one-goal margin. The hosts haven’t failed to score in any of their last 11 matches and have won their last four home games.

We’re confident a double chance pick for AZ Jong is the best way to bet on Monday’s match and we have predicted a final scoreline of 2-1. AZ Jong have a good record at home this season but don’t head into Monday’s match as the form favourites. However, Almere City have only won once on the road and the best they look capable of achieving in this match is a draw.

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