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Blackburn Rovers vs Nottingham Forest Predictions

  • 19:45
  • Expired
  • Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers
Nottingham Forest
  • Sky Sports Arena

Under 2.5 Match Goals

4/6odds when tipped
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Blackburn Rovers 1-0

13/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Five of Blackburn’s last six Championship matches have featured fewer than three goals.
  • Five of Nottingham Forest’s last seven away league games have featured fewer than three goals.
  • Blackburn Rovers have won six of their last seven home league games.
  • Nottingham Forest have lost two of their last three away Championship contests.

Two elite Championship defences can keep goals at a premium

Blackburn Rovers might just be able to squeeze an important win out of Wednesday’s key Championship home game with Nottingham Forest in a matchup between two of the best defences in the division.

Rovers have had 24 hours longer to rest and prepare for this clash as they missed a chance to strengthen their grip on second place on Saturday while Forest put holders Leicester City out of the FA Cup on Sunday. The contrasting senses of frustration and jubilation the teams will carry into this fixture could affect the game, but the factor that strikes a chord from a betting perspective is how good these sides are at keeping goals out.

No team comes close to Rovers’ record of conceding just four goals in their last 12 league fixtures while Forest’s eight goals shipped over that period is good for the fourth-best in the division. Five of Blackburn’s last six Championship matches have featured fewer than three goals and so have five of Forest’s last seven away league games – so we are minded to favour the ‘unders’ here.

Rovers could return to winning ways

Tony Mowbray’s side outplayed Swansea for long spells on Saturday but failed to get any reward as Darragh Lenihan was denied a late leveller by the woodwork. They are a formidable force at Ewood Park and could make it eight wins from the last nine on Wednesday if Steve Cooper’s side are not quite at their best.

Forest are a match for anyone in the division on their day, but they have had a couple of below-par displays on the road since Christmas, which has us leaning towards Blackburn for the destination of the three points. The Reds have had better results against teams that deploy a back four – such as Leicester and Arsenal did in the cup, than three-man defences operated by the likes of Middlesbrough, who beat them 2-0 on Boxing Day, and Rovers, who won 2-1 at the City Ground earlier this season.

A 1-0 home win is therefore the forecast as we are taking Blackburn, who are likely to recall Ben Brereton-Diaz to the starting line-up, to stay solid at the back and frustrate Forest’s in-form forwards.

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