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Burnley vs Chelsea Predictions

Published on 3:51pm GMT 18 November 2025

  • 12:30
  • Expired
  • Turf Moor
Burnley
Chelsea
  • TNT Sports 1

Over 2.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

Burnley have the second-worst defensive record in the Premier League but have scored more than seven other teams. Over 2.5 goals has landed in five of their last seven fixtures and in seven of Chelsea’s last eight.

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Chelsea 2-1

Reason for tip

Burnley have conceded at least two goals in six of their last seven games but have scored themselves in six of these, while Chelsea have scored twice or more in four of their last five on the road.

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Burnley vs Chelsea Predictions

  • Chelsea’s Premier League games this season have averaged 2.91 goals per game.
  • Over 2.5 goals has landed in five of Burnley’s last seven fixtures.

Goals on the cards at Turf Moor

Chelsea could put the pressure on their top-four rivals with a win in gameweek 12’s first fixture, and they should do just that in a potentially high-scoring trip to Turf Moor.

Burnley slipped closer to the Premier League drop zone as they lost away to West Ham last time out, falling to their seventh league defeat of the season and leaving them with the second-worst defensive record in the division.

This comes as something of a surprise given their defensive resilience in the Championship last season, as does the fact they have a better goalscoring record than seven top-flight clubs.

Over 2.5 goals have landed in five of their last seven in all competitions, and they face a Chelsea side that have seen an average of 2.91 goals per game in the league this term.

Blues to come out on top

Seven of the Blues’ last eight matches have featured three or more goals, so that looks a solid bet when the pair meet at Turf Moor on Saturday.

It should be Enzo Maresca’s side coming out on top, though. The Clarets have conceded two or more goals in six of their last seven matches and Chelsea have scored at least twice in four of their last five on the road, so back a 2-1 win for the visitors.

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