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Burnley vs Everton Predictions

Published on 3:24pm GMT 23 December 2025

  • 15:00
  • Expired
  • Turf Moor
Burnley
    Everton

      Everton to Win

      Reason for tip

      Burnley have lost seven of their last eight games and have some of the worst underlying data in the Premier League. They look unlikely to get anything out of an Everton team who have been solid this term and should be too strong.

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      Everton 2-0

      Reason for tip

      Everton should prevail in this one and keep a clean sheet. The Toffees have won the last three head-to-heads without conceding and considering Burnley’s difficulties in front of goal at home they are fancied for another. Take David Moyes’ men to win this one 2-0.

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      Thierno Barry To Score Anytime

      Reason for tip

      Thierno Barry got his first Everton goal against Nottingham Forest recently and appears to have nailed down the starting spot up front. He has an expected goals figure of 2.7 and should be able to get on the scoresheet against a leaky home backline.

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      Burnley vs Everton Predictions

      • Burnley have lost all 12 games against teams currently in the top 14
      • Six of Everton’s eight wins this season have been to nil
      • Six of the Toffees’ last eight games have gone under 2.5 goals

      Toffees to triumph at Turf Moor

      Burnley’s chances of staying in the Premier League always looked fairly slim and they have all but evaporated in their 17 games in the top flight this season.

      The Clarets may have scored a last-minute equaliser against Bournemouth last time out but they had lost seven games on the spin before that and are seven points adrift of safety.

      They have the worst expected goal difference in the league, -19.1, have the lowest possession percentage at 41 and have taken the fewest shots of any team in the top flight (142).

      Martin Dubravka has been statistically one of the best shot stoppers in the league, his post-shot expected goals figure ranks fourth at +2.3, saving them from even more misery.

      Their three league wins have come against their two fellow promoted teams and Wolves, who are bottom after picking up just two points from their 17 matches.

      Scott Parker’s men have found themselves thoroughly outclassed when facing any team who are currently above 15th in the table, losing all 11 matches against such sides.

      Poor home form could cause crisis for Clarets

      That does not bode well for their clash with Everton on Saturday, with the Toffees having had a solid start to the campaign to sit tenth.

      Only the top five teams in the Premier League have won more games than Everton’s total of seven this season and they have found an ideal spot to bounce back from a pair of disappointing defeats against Arsenal and Chelsea.

      The last three meetings between these two teams have seen Everton win to nil and six of their eight victories in all competitions this season have been accompanied by a clean sheet.

      That is a concern for a Burnley team who have struggled to find the net this season, particularly at home.

      The hosts have only scored seven goals at Turf Moor, the lowest total in the league, and they may struggle to lay a glove on this Everton team.

      Solid Everton hard to break down

      Even with Idrissa Gueye, Iliman Ndiaye and Jarrad Branthwaite set to miss out, the visitors should have too much quality for a team who have been fairly abject this season.

      Six of Everton’s last eight games have gone under 2.5 goals and they can cruise to a 2-0 success in this clash.

      Thierno Barry opened his Everton account against Nottingham Forest earlier this month and has successfully nailed down the starting striker role for the Toffees, he could find the net against a poor home team. 

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